Gabriel Jesus to replace Sergio Aguero? Manchester City striker’s stats analysed

Gabriel Jesus ended his look forward to a aim with a wise header for the opener in Manchester City’s 4-1 win over Arsenal within the Carabao Cup quarter-final on the Emirates. But on the evening that Sergio Aguero made his return from harm as a second-half substitute, the Brazilian’s efficiency will solely reignite the controversy about his capacity to succeed the legend.

Jesus was spectacular. His motion within the lead up to that aim helped arrange the chance. He had Mohamed Elneny and Shkodran Mustafi within the e-book inside the primary half an hour.

But was this primary aim in eight video games sufficient to persuade the doubters that he needs to be the long-term successor to Aguero with the Argentine out of contract in the summertime? Unlikely.

His critics will level as an alternative to the one-on-one probability that struck Arsenal goalkeeper Alex Runarsson fairly than discovering the again of the online. The downside for Jesus, as former Manchester City defender Micah Richards famous, is that the usual is so daunting.

“He just needs to be more clinical,” Richards informed Sky Sports.

“The comparability is with Aguero. It may be very onerous to examine to him, however he does work onerous for the workforce. He has completely different attributes.

“What he does give is the press. They have turn into a little bit of a possession workforce however when you’ve gotten a striker who’s prepared to run it simply will get the gamers up the pitch.

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Highlights of the Carabao Cup quarter-final match between Arsenal and Man City

“I am a big fan of Jesus. I think he is a very good player. I just don’t think he is at the level to compare. I don’t think it is fair to compare him to a great of the Premier League.”

It could be unfair however it’s the actuality for Jesus as he approaches the four-year anniversary of his debut for the membership. His contribution in that point has been important. Nothing can take away his half in historical past – the scorer of the aim at Southampton that took City to 100 factors.

But it has additionally been a really public trial interval for the most effective jobs in soccer – the duty of main the road for Manchester City. He already has the quantity 9 however can he be the primary man?

On the face of it, his statistics are sturdy. Compare his file to the Premier League’s deadliest strikers of the earlier decade and Jesus is up there with the most effective minutes-per-goal ratios round. The hope could be that extra game-time leads to extra targets.

Jesus is not any tremendous sub both. His strike charge when coming off the bench is way worse than when he begins. It would make sense if he was approaching with the sport gained and serving to himself to simple targets however that isn’t what his file reveals.

Given his age – Jesus is 23 – and the prospect to develop underneath Pep Guardiola, it could be logical to imagine that the time is approaching for him to step up and declare the position. It is what makes his current dip in kind really feel prefer it has come at a very unlucky time.

Aguero’s harm has allowed this extended interval as first-choice striker however the probability has not been totally seized. In truth, it has introduced the worst goalscoring type of his City profession.

Even extra worryingly, probabilities haven’t simply been missed, such because the volley towards Manchester United, typically they haven’t come in any respect. That was his solely effort in that sport. In the earlier fixture at house to Fulham, Jesus didn’t have a single shot in 90 minutes.

Indeed, he has not had a shot on track in any of his final 5 Premier League appearances. Nevertheless, Guardiola stays an enormous admirer and has defended him all through this run.

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“I love him so much,” he stated just lately. “What he is able to do is one of the reasons why we concede few goals, and few chances is thanks exclusively to him. Without him we would concede more chances. And sometimes I give credit to the other ones.

“Of course he needs to rating targets and he’ll do it. I need his targets however his contribution is as the perfect striker on the planet doing one thing that [not] any striker can do for the workforce.”

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Jesus has become a very effective defensive forward in a team that needs that help in cutting out moves at source, protecting the high line. Guardiola appreciates that and when the goals come from elsewhere, as they did in the 5-0 win over Burnley, it is not an issue.

Perhaps he has also been unlucky to step into the side at a time when it has not been functioning as it should, a victim of the fact that City as a team have not been creating quite as much as before. Aguero might have been just as reliant on good service as Jesus.

Even so, the priority is that for a lot of previous 4 years there was that feeling that if Jesus was simply given an prolonged run – and the assumption that comes with that – he would have the opportunity to fulfil his potential. Now the danger is that necessary figures will lean the opposite means.

The load on him has been unusually excessive of late. The current run of video games wherein he performed the complete 90 minutes in six consecutive Premier League matches was unprecedented for him.

Jesus’ longest earlier run like that had been 4 video games. Other than that he had by no means been requested to play the complete 90 minutes greater than twice in a row within the Premier League in a single season.

Aguero’s return to health means that he’s unlikely to be requested to achieve this once more. Maybe that can deliver the perfect out within the Brazilian – even Aguero’s presence on the bench might need helped contribute to his fast begin towards Arsenal on Tuesday night.

Sharing the workload as soon as extra may very well be good for Jesus within the short-to-medium time period. The downside is that, in the long run, it’s possible to persuade Manchester City and their supporters of one thing some may have lengthy suspected. When Aguero does lastly depart, they are going to be on the lookout for a brand new quantity 9 fairly than a deputy for his long-time deputy.

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