Newcastle takeover brings hope of improvement but problems on the pitch won’t be quick to fix

Newcastle supporters will journey to St James’ Park on Sunday full of optimism {that a} brighter future awaits underneath their new Saudi-backed house owners, following the departure of Mike Ashley.

However, no matter the final result towards Tottenham in the curtain-raiser to the new period, one factor is definite: it should take time, funding and lots of onerous work to transfer Newcastle up the Premier League desk and right into a place to compete with the finest sides in the nation.

Here, Sky Sports statistician Sven Alexis takes a have a look at the numbers round Newcastle’s present state of affairs to reveal the work that wants to be executed on the pitch to take the crew to the subsequent degree…

A well-known, sluggish begin to the season

Newcastle’s sluggish begins – document in opening seven Premier League video games


Newcastle are nonetheless searching for their first win of the season after selecting up simply three factors from a potential 21. Only as soon as have they made a worse begin this century: in 2018/19 Rafa Benitez’s facet picked up simply three factors from their opening 10 video games, going on to end thirteenth.

Unfortunately for the Geordie trustworthy, a sluggish begin has been a typical theme in latest seasons. Newcastle have failed to win any of their opening seven video games in 4 of their final seven Premier League campaigns.

It stays to be seen what uplift the takeover may have on this squad – and what influence any new arrivals in January may have – but Newcastle, as soon as once more, are already taking part in catch-up.

Newcastle United
Tottenham Hotspur

Sunday seventeenth October 4:00pm

Kick off 4:30pm

Defensive points

Newcastle's defensive stats are amongst the worst in the Premier League this season

No facet has conceded extra Premier League objectives than Newcastle this season. They’ve shipped 16 of their opening seven video games and solely as soon as earlier than have they conceded extra Premier League objectives at this stage. They conceded 19 of their opening seven in 1999/00 underneath Ruud Gullit and Bobby Robson.

Also See:

  • Campos on Newcastle’s radar for sporting director position
  • Amnesty need assembly with PL over Newcastle takeover
  • Bruce takes Newcastle coaching as he edges in the direction of exit
  • Newcastle takeover: 10 moments that formed Ashley’s reign
  • Newcastle takeover accomplished by Saudi-led consortium
  • Bruce takes Newcastle coaching as he edges in the direction of exit
  • Newcastle takeover response: Shearer, Keegan set to be supplied roles

In reality, solely Southampton have conceded extra Premier League objectives than Newcastle since Steve Bruce’s appointment in July 2019. They have additionally confronted the most photographs per recreation of any Premier League facet.

Bruce has at occasions been criticised for the model of soccer his Newcastle groups have performed but it actually hasn’t led to good defensive numbers.

Newcastle on the again foot

TeamMost objectives conceded (since Aug 2019)TeamMost photographs confronted/recreation (since Aug 2019)
Newcastle136Aston Villa15
Crystal Palace127Burnley14.7

Since mid-December, Newcastle have conceded 62 objectives in 34 league video games, the most conceded by any Premier League facet in the final 10 months.

This season, whereas Newcastle rank round mid-table for his or her attacking output, their defensive stats are amongst the worst – if not the worst – in the division.

Two-man crew?

Newcastle's outcomes have suffered when Callum Wilson and Allan Saint-Maximin have been unavailable

One factor that has gone towards Bruce in the final 12 months is the lack of begins that Allan Saint-Maximin and Callum Wilson have had collectively. They have each been in the beginning line-up in solely 13 of Newcastle’s 45 Premier League video games since the begin of final season.

When you embrace sub appearances, they’ve each featured in 20 Premier League video games collectively, with Newcastle successful 40 per cent of these video games. However Newcastle’s win charge drops to 16 per cent when one or each are lacking.

Wilson has missed the final 4 video games with a thigh harm but might return this weekend. He has began solely 58 per cent of Newcastle’s Premier League video games since becoming a member of (26 begins from 45 video games). The Magpies have failed to win 14 of the 16 Premier League video games Wilson has missed (W2, D6, L8).

Not solely was he Newcastle’s high scorer final season with 12 Premier League objectives, he additionally recorded the most assists (5).

Newcastle’s 14 seasons underneath Ashley – and the 14 earlier than

Newcastle PL document14 seasons earlier than AshleyUnder Ashley
PL wins540463
Win %42%30%
Points per recreation1.541.16
Top-4 finishes50
Top-10 finishes83

The significance of Saint-Maximin taking part in can be evident with the undeniable fact that Newcastle haven’t gained any of the final 12 video games the Frenchman has missed in all competitions.

Saint-Maximin or Wilson have been concerned in six of Newcastle’s eight Premier League objectives scored this season, with the winger recording two objectives and three assists, and the striker notching two objectives.

Turnaround won’t be simple

Bruce was the final of eight everlasting managers throughout the 14 years of Ashley’s tenure and it’s clear that to enhance the membership’s fortunes from their present place won’t be a simple process.

Under Ashley, Newcastle have been relegated twice and had simply three top-10 PL finishes in his 12 full PL seasons – the earlier 14 PL seasons noticed eight top-10 finishes and 5 top-4 finishes.

Their total win share and factors per recreation have additionally dropped considerably throughout his possession.

Their struggles to kick on have been going on for a while.

Steve Bruce and Rafa Benitez have related data throughout their two full Premier League seasons with Newcastle

The Magpies have gained solely three of their final 16 PL dwelling video games and a worrying statistic is that St James’ Park has not seen back-to-back PL dwelling wins since December 2019. They’ve additionally stored simply two clear sheets of their final 26 PL dwelling video games.

Interestingly Steve Bruce gained precisely the identical quantity of factors as Rafa Benitez did in every of their two full Premier League seasons at the membership. Bruce’s facet scored three extra objectives but conceded 25 extra objectives in comparison to Benitez.

That suggests it’s going to take a significant shake-up to get the membership transferring in the proper path once more – and you may see what Newcastle followers hope will be the first step in the direction of that once they host Tottenham, stay on Sky Sports on Sunday.

Essential Football Podcast: Newcastle’s new period begins | Secrets to Brentford’s success | Next steps for Everton, West Ham

Peter Smith is joined by Sky Sports News reporter Keith Downie, in addition to assistant information editor Lyall Thomas and soccer journalist Ron Walker to look forward to the Premier League weekend…

PART 1 | Keith Downie solutions the key questions on the Newcastle takeover, from switch spending and the way the new house owners intend to take the membership forwards to points round human rights in Saudi Arabia.

PART 2 | Lyall Thomas and Ron Walker elevate the lid on the story behind Brentford’s spectacular begin to their first Premier League season and the secrets and techniques behind their regular progress lately.

PART 3 | As David Moyes prepares to take his present membership to face his former membership, we focus on the subsequent steps for West Ham and Everton – and the influence Rafa Benitez has had at Goodison Park.

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