Jones Knows offers his Super 6 predictions and betting insights for all Premier League encounters and the FA Cup ultimate. Find out what he is backing.
Burnley vs Leeds, Saturday 12.30pm
Should be a enjoyable watch, this recreation.
Burnley are urgent a lot greater currently in assault and it is reaping the rewards with Chris Wood and Matej Vydra seeing way more service. In their final seven video games, solely Leicester and Chelsea have created the next anticipated objectives determine per recreation than Burnley and their return of 13 precise objectives from that run of fixtures could be very wholesome too. Burnley to attain precisely two objectives on this one makes attraction at 5/2 with Sky Bet.
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Some punters/tipsters love tackling the tackles markets supplied up by Sky Bet. I discover it a bit too risky for my liking however Leeds are fairly reliable in that division. Robin Koch has stepped in on the base of their midfield within the final two video games, changing Kalvin Phillips, and it is a place that all the time is rife for a excessive deal with depend with the quantity of labor Marcelo Bielsa calls for from gamers in that exact place.
Phillips for instance averages 2.65 tackles per recreation. In the 2 video games Koch has performed, he racked up 5 vs Brighton and three vs Tottenham. I’m unsure the bookmakers have adjusted their strains accordingly so I’m glad to play him to make 4 or extra tackles at 9/2 with Sky Bet as he goes into battle with the Burnley midfield.
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JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 2-2
BETTING ANGLE: Robin Koch to make 4 or extra tackles (9/2 with Sky Bet)
Southampton vs Fulham, Saturday 3.00pm, stay on Sky Sports – Play Super 6 right here!
Strap on these punting boots. Southampton are a tremendous wager right here to take all three factors.
The desk formally has Saints 13 factors higher than Fulham however the hole between them is bigger than that once you analyse the important thing metrics and reliability of gamers in key moments. Ralph Hasenhuttl, who needs to be the front-runner for the Spurs job, has a tremendous document at beating groups in direction of the underside of the league along with his up-tempo type. Eight of Southampton’s 11 Premier League wins this season have come towards groups within the backside eight.
Fulham will likely be right here for the taking.
Scott Parker, who has been linked with the Spurs job, has overseen six defeats of their final seven and their relegation was confirmed in one other limp show towards Burnley. Parker spoke of some “big decisions” being revamped the following month or two and it needs to be a fear that motivation inside his squad will likely be low for the remaining video games, particularly with the quantity of mortgage gamers in his crew.
When Saints win, Danny Ings often scores. No participant to have scored greater than 20 objectives within the final two seasons – he has scored 34 – within the Premier League has a extra lethal conversion charge than the Southampton striker – a whopping 32.08 per cent. To put that into context, Harry Kane is working at a 24 per cent charge. Ings has a degree to show forward of Gareth Southgate’s Euro 2020 squad announcement and have to be backed this weekend to attain in a house win.
SUPER 6 PREDICTION: 2-0
BETTING ANGLE: Danny Ings to attain and Southampton to win (13/5 with Sky Bet)
FA Cup Final: Chelsea vs Leicester, Saturday 5.15pm – Play Super 6 right here!
Those that like backing playing cards have endured a irritating interval behind closed doorways as referees have turn out to be extra lenient with out the strain of a crowd roaring them on to delve into their pockets. Michael Oliver has acquired the nod for this one and he’ll endeavor his duties with 20,000 followers inside Wembley. The added fringe of an environment in a one-off recreation surroundings the place cynical fouls usually tend to be seen, ought to lead to a card pleasant recreation.
And I need to again Wilfred Ndidi to get one at 3/1 with Sky Bet. He’s having one other magnificent season within the engine room however he is being requested to play with extra dynamism in a midfield two and the fouls have been racking up. Since the beginning of April, no participant has made extra fouls within the Premier League than Ndidi (19), selecting up two bookings alongside the way in which.
Furthermore, in what I’d outline as “elite encounters”, Chelsea’s type of breaking by way of their midfield into their entrance three is inflicting opposition gamers to make fouls. In the 2 legs vs Real Madrid within the Champions League, the Spanish aspect picked up 9 bookings in whole while Manchester City have been carded 5 instances throughout their conferences lately and Porto seven instances. Cards are on the menu in a Chelsea win.
SUPER 6 PREDICTION: 2-1
BETTING ANGLE: Wilfred Ndidi to be carded (3/1 with Sky Bet)
Brighton vs West Ham, Saturday 8.00pm, stay on Sky Sports – Play Super 6 right here!
Brighton and Hove Albion
West Ham United
Saturday fifteenth May 7:30pm
Kick off 8:00pm
The door has come ajar once more for West Ham of their pursuit of a top-four end however this is not a really perfect fixture.
Expectation will likely be on them right here to go away with three factors however in fact there actually is not a lot between the groups regardless of their league positions. Brighton are underrated, West Ham overrated. Plus, the Hammers appeared fairly clueless within the ultimate third when tasked with breaking down a effectively organised again 5 towards Everton. They will face an identical drawback right here.
- Race for Europe: Who wants what and remaining video games
I used to be eager on backing the hosts however but once more the markets have them firmly on aspect with solely 15/8 with Sky Bet out there. The worth is tight sufficient,
With such little juice within the outright match costs, my eyes have wandered to the pictures market the place I’ll be backing my outdated buddy Yves Bissouma. Punts on him to attain in current weeks have gone astray however he is been peppering the opposition purpose with efforts which have admittedly diversified in high quality. But that is the sweetness with backing these sort of pictures bets, it would not matter if it is blocked, speculative or downright garbage, a shot is a shot. The Evens for him to fireside two pictures at purpose, one thing he is accomplished in 4 of his final 5 matches, is interesting.
SUPER 6 PREDICTION: 1-0
BETTING ANGLE: Yves Bissouma to have two or extra pictures (Evens with Sky Bet)
Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa, Sunday 12pm, stay on Sky Sports – Play Super 6 right here!
Sunday sixteenth May 11:30am
Kick off 12:00pm
Palace’s season is predictably really fizzling out below Roy Hodgson – because it did final season when the membership assured their security. Only two wins towards relegated West Brom and Sheffield United are all they’ve to point out from their final 10 matches. I’d be towards them right here with Villa a good odds-against poke at 13/10 with Sky Bet particularly with Jack Grealish again.
Meanwhile, you sense that Wilfried Zaha will likely be relishing a change of route this summer season – whether or not that may be at Crystal Palace below a brand new supervisor or transferring onto pastures new.
His tendency to lash out with a flailing arm goes to get him into bother with VAR sooner quite than later. He was booked in stoppage time for an altercation with Jack Stephens towards Southampton for such an offence. Villa will likely be out to check his nerve. With that in thoughts, the 66/1 with Sky Bet for him to be crimson carded has an opportunity.
SUPER 6 PREDICTION: 1-2
BETTING ANGLE: Wilfried Zaha to be despatched off (66/1 with Sky Bet)
Tottenham vs Wolves, Sunday 2.05pm, stay on Sky Sports – Play Super 6 right here!
Sunday sixteenth May 2:00pm
Kick off 2:05pm
I practically spat my espresso out when seeing what worth Tottenham have been right here. How anybody might severely again them at 1/2 with Sky Bet – it needs to be up there as one of many worst costs of the season towards a crew which have gained on their final two visits to enjoying Spurs away from residence.
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I do not like trusting groups that depend on people. Cohesion, teamwork and spirit stays such an underrated side of attempting to analyse the performance of a crew. And, as we have seen for months now, Tottenham’s can be questioned even regardless of the removing of Jose Mourinho.
The brilliance of Harry Kane and Heung Min-Son continues to paper over the cracks on the membership. Their lethal ending means Spurs have the most effective shot conversion (15.3 per cent) within the Premier League regardless of averaging solely 11.4 pictures per recreation as a crew – which is the bottom Tottenham have averaged in a Premier League season since Opta began retaining data in 2003/04.
This means there’s worth available getting Wolves very a lot on our aspect. The 6/4 for Wolves to win or draw is a strong worth for those who like a brief one however I’ll be enjoying Nuno’s boys to win the sport by one purpose at 7/1 with Sky Bet. A one-goal margin victory has copped in 10 of Wolves’ 12 wins this season.
SUPER 6 PREDICTION: 0-1
BETTING ANGLE: Wolves to win by precisely one purpose (7/1 with Sky Bet)
West Brom vs Liverpool, Sunday 4.30pm, stay on Sky Sports – Play Super 6 right here!
West Bromwich Albion
Sunday sixteenth May 4:00pm
Kick off 4:30pm
One of the keys to creating worthwhile betting selections on participant pictures markets surrounds how assured stated participant is. If he is in-form, then he is extra prone to really feel comfy in taking up the grasping shot choice. The drawback is, confidence can’t be measured so it is a subjective space. However, it is a fairly secure suggestion to deem that Trent Alexander-Arnold is a assured boy for the time being.
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He was the most effective participant on the pitch within the win over Manchester United, grabbing an help and registering 4 pictures on purpose. West Brom, with nothing to play for, ought to make this an open recreation of soccer which will likely be music to the ears of Jurgen Klopp. Shots needs to be on the menu and I just like the Alexander-Arnold angle for him to have two or extra on purpose at 6/4 with Sky Bet in one other high-scoring Liverpool away win.
SUPER 6 PREDICTION: 1-3
BETTING ANGLE: Trent Alexander-Arnold to have two or extra pictures (6/4 with Sky Bet)
Everton vs Sheffield United, Sunday 8.00pm
The means Sheffield United performed of their 2-0 defeat to Crystal Palace, who’ve successfully put their cue on the rack for the season was an insult to what Chris Wilder had constructed on the membership. It might be a protracted street again to the large time for the Blades.
Their toothless soccer should not give an Everton defence which have shut out West Ham, Aston Villa and Arsenal previously three weeks an excessive amount of to sweat about. The 11/10 with Sky Bet for Everton to win to nil appears to be like a strong play.
I’m additionally within the first purpose methodology to be a header at 9/2. Here we’ll have Dominic Calvert-Lewin on our aspect, who is barely 21/10 to attain a header outright, plus Everton’s menace from set items with Michael Keane and Ben Godfrey.
JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 2-0
BETTING ANGLE: First purpose methodology to be a header (9/2 with Sky Bet)
EARLIER THIS WEEKEND…
Newcastle 3-4 Man City – JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 0-1
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