Premier League predictions: Burnley win at Leeds, Wolves to hold Spurs?

Jones Knows is right here to arm you with Premier League insights and betting angles forward of the festive interval. He thinks Arsenal at 3/1 are overpriced to beat Chelsea.

Leeds vs Burnley, Sunday 12pm, reside on Sky Sports

Leeds United
Burnley

Sunday twenty seventh December 11:30am

Kick off 12:00pm

The most gung-ho workforce in Premier League historical past meet the grisliest one. You could not get two extra totally different types of taking part in the artwork of soccer.

The purist in me desires the Bielsa-ball to come out on prime right here however the markets have fully underestimated Burnley’s strengths for this match-up. At 7/2 it is exhausting to ignore an away win.

Leeds have the worst defence in Premier League, conceding 30 targets, together with 13 of their final 4 Premier League video games. But the killer statistic that suggestions me within the favour of a Burnley win is the actual fact Leeds have conceded probably the most Premier League targets from set-pieces this season (14).

Sean Dyche has received his boys again to a efficiency stage extra akin to earlier seasons with their defensive axis of Ben Mee and James Tarkowski nonetheless vastly underrated. For all Leeds’ eye-catching and free-flowing attacking soccer, Burnley’s defence is a factor of magnificence when it comes to maintaining out targets.

They additionally possess relentless vitality in midfield with Josh Brownhill and Ashley Westwood and now have a strike pairing in Ashley Barnes and Chris Wood which might be again amongst the targets. Away win.

JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 1-2 (12/1 with Sky Bet)

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West Ham vs Brighton, Sunday 2.15pm, reside on Sky Sports

West Ham United
Brighton and Hove Albion

Sunday twenty seventh December 2:00pm

Kick off 2:15pm

West Ham actually might do with getting Michail Antonio match. He has been sidelined with a hamstring downside because the 2-1 win over Aston Villa at the top of November and regardless of his wondergoal within the Crystal Palace draw, Sebastien Haller is not the reply.

That out of the blue purpose is the one severe effort the Hammers have had on purpose of their final two matches, creating an general xG of simply 0.82. I would not be stunned to see them undergo a sticky patch over the festive interval.

Brighton have drawn their final two matches however but once more the important thing information factors to an enormous underperformance. In the attracts with Fulham and Sheffield United, they created a complete xG of three.36 while creating 4 massive possibilities however scoring simply as soon as. Can they be trusted right here to flip robust metrics right into a win? Not for me.

JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 0-0 (10/1 with Sky Bet)

Liverpool vs West Brom, Sunday 4.30pm, reside on Sky Sports

Liverpool
West Bromwich Albion

Sunday twenty seventh December 4:15pm

Kick off 4:30pm

Can you think about the smile on Big Sam’s face if he was to develop into the person to break Liverpool’s 66 sport unbeaten house run? It can be the final word ‘mic drop’ second.

West Brom are 25/1 to accomplish that. And, actually, I’d most likely nonetheless be apprehensive of backing them should you supplied me 250/1.

Liverpool’s staggering run might be ended by somebody quickly however there might be different days for that venture. Here, they’ll merely carry an excessive amount of firepower.

With the fast schedule of video games on the horizon, there is a robust chance Liverpool will ease off the gasoline within the second interval as soon as the sport is sewn up so as to relaxation some limbs. Klopp’s boys, who might be more energizing than they’ve been all season after an eight-day relaxation interval between video games, have scored extra first-half targets than some other Premier League aspect this season (17), so are positioned to go for West Brom’s throat within the early knockings of this one.

That makes the two/1 for probably the most targets to come within the first half an attention-grabbing angle to take into account.

JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 2-0 (7/1 with Sky Bet)

Wolves vs Tottenham, Sunday 7.15pm, reside on Sky Sports

This is a giant interval for Jose Mourinho.

For a supervisor who ensures outcomes, three straight league defeats would not precisely sit effectively with all involved with Spurs. In truth, it is one thing they have not skilled within the Premier League since November 2012 after they suffered straight defeats to Wigan, Manchester City and Arsenal.

Wolves had been on the top of a typical Burnley efficiency on a moist and windy evening at Turf Moor – a sport the place Nuno Espirito Santo cleverly diverted the eye from his workforce choice failings with a fairly pointless dig at referee Lee Mason. For this one, the place counter-attacking might be on the menu, certainly Adama Traore might be ushered again in from the beginning.

It’s all the time straightforward to forgive a workforce a defeat at Burnley, and at Molineux, Wolves nonetheless are a tough workforce for the massive groups to take care of – as seen when beating Chelsea of their earlier fixture.

The first purpose will undoubtedly form this match greater than normal. It’s too tight to name.

JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 1-1 (6/1 with Sky Bet)

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