Premier League predictions: Jones Knows says Leicester’s attack makes them very appealing at 13/2 to beat Liverpool

Our betting guru Jones Knows needs to again Leicester at an enormous value to beat Liverpool and sees wins for Spurs, Crystal Palace and West Ham.

Crystal Palace vs Norwich, Tuesday 3pm – Watch free highlights of this sport after full time

Norwich are hapless. Off the pitch, their smart enterprise construction and talent to produce expertise deserves big respect however there isn’t a denying they have their determination making horribly unsuitable again up at the highest desk. Dean Smith has not stumbled throughout his finest formation or beginning XI, their finest participant Teemu Pukki is starved of service and confidence should be at all-time low, scoring simply as soon as of their final six video games – and that got here towards 10-man Newcastle.

Backing groups to beat them to nil appears an apparent but worthwhile technique – so let’s roll that cube once more at 13/8 with Sky Bet.

Wilfried Zaha reacts to being despatched off towards Spurs

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Without the suspended Wilfried Zaha, my eyes have been drawn to the Palace corners market. His direct dribbles down the left are a catalyst for the way Palace win their corners, with out him their common drops immensely. In the previous 12 months, Zaha has been lacking for seven video games and in these matches Palace have averaged simply 2.7 corners per 90 minutes. That’s a pointy decline on their total common of 4 per 90 minutes with him within the facet. Patrick Vieira’s facet rank low for corners anyway – the fifth lowest within the league, probably due to their defensive targeted full-backs.

I’m glad to again them at 11/10 with Sky Bet to win 5 corners or much less.


BETTING ANGLE: Back Palace to win 5 or much less corners (11/10 with Sky Bet)

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Southampton vs Tottenham, Tuesday 3pm – Watch free highlights of this sport after full time

Antonio Conte has bought Tottenham motoring. Their path of journey is in the direction of the highest 4. Conte has accomplished what Conte does, making groups fitter, higher organised and placing his most gifted gamers at the forefront of direct, harmful assaults.

Since he took the job, no crew have a greater defensive document within the Premier League than Spurs. They are working at a mean of 0.5 objectives conceded per 90 minutes. It’s going to take one thing particular from Saints to discover a approach by means of and though they scored thrice at West Ham, I’m but to be satisfied about their skill to create high quality probabilities from open play. A Tottenham win to nil is fancied at 11/4 with Sky Bet.

The man to get that profitable purpose simply could be Lucas Moura, who’s revelling taking part in with freedom in a swashbuckling attack with Harry Kane and Heung-Min Son. The Brazilian is being inspired to play in additional central areas – as seen by his purpose and missed probability from simply exterior the six-yard field within the win over Crystal Palace the place he had 5 photographs on purpose. The markets have but to alter to his new, extra harmful, place, so the 11/10 for him to have a shot on track towards Saints is a value price taking.


BETTING ANGLE: Lucas Moura to have a shot on track (11/10 with Sky Bet)

Lucas Moura can hit the goal for Tottenham at 11/10

Watford vs West Ham, Tuesday 3pm – Watch free highlights of this sport after full time

I’ve made it an absolute artform out of getting West Ham unsuitable during the last 12 months. Boxing Day was one other instance. Southampton had been scientific with their ending and took benefit of a horrendous first-half efficiency from the Hammers that left David Moyes as fuming as he has been since taking the job.

He stated: “I could have changed four or five at half-time it was a difficult choice. The reaction has to come not in the dressing room but on the pitch and hopefully, they will put that right.”

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West Ham have been constant for such an extended time frame, I might be fairly assured of Moyes getting the required response at Vicarage Road, particularly if, as anticipated, Michail Antonio performs from the beginning. His introduction at half-time sparked them into life vs Saints. At 11/10 with Sky Bet, the Hammers are price following.

A key space of the sport will probably be set items. West Ham ought to have the ability to put Watford beneath vital stress. Only two extra groups have conceded extra headed objectives than Claudio Ranieri’s facet (6) whereas West Ham, together with Liverpool and Manchester City, have scored essentially the most objectives (7) from corners this season. In what could possibly be a low-scoring affair the place Moyes will probably be demanding a clear sheet, the 9/2 on a header being the strategy of the primary purpose is price backing.


BETTING ANGLE: First purpose to be a header (9/2 with Sky Bet)

Leicester vs Liverpool, Tuesday 8pm – Watch free highlights of this sport after full time

I used to be made to look silly by Leeds two weeks in the past when tipping them up to beat Manchester City at 25/1 primarily based on the worth being too beneficiant to ignore. Well, that 7-0 thrashing has not made me study my lesson as I’m taking a swing at Leicester right here.

The 13/2 with Sky Bet is staring at me, begging to be backed on the premise that Brendan Rodgers has his attack taking part in some very harmful soccer. Yes, their defensive points are apparent and Liverpool are Liverpool however a crew showcasing the type of attacking numbers with the added pull of dwelling benefit ought to have extra of an opportunity of profitable a Premier League sport than simply 13.33 per cent, regardless of the opposition.

Remember, Liverpool have misplaced to West Ham this season, have drawn with Brentford and Brighton and had been 3-1 down to this Leicester facet simply final week throughout their Carabao Cup conflict, albeit with a severely weakened crew out.

Meanwhile, since they misplaced to Chelsea in November, Leicester are averaging three objectives per sport, scoring 15 instances of their final 5 fixtures. This is a better ratio than Liverpool’s 2.5 objectives per 90 minutes of their six video games over the identical interval. With James Maddison within the type of his life, their attacking efficiency at Manchester City the place they scored three with the backdrop of a non-penalty anticipated objectives complete of two.54 was worthy of excessive reward. It was the primary time Pep Guardiola’s facet had conceded an xG towards determine larger than 2.5 in 55 Premier League matches – with Leicester additionally being the final crew to accomplish that when creating 2.95 of their 5-2 win final season.

James Maddison will help Leicester to a shock win over Liverpool

I might have Leicester’s win probabilities nearer to 22 per cent right here, which might equate to them being a 7/2 shot, so the sting is simply too good to move up. Due to Leicester’s incapability to hold clear sheets – simply two within the final 25 matches throughout all competitions – bumping the 13/2 up to 10/1 by including each groups to rating makes loads of sense.


BETTING ANGLE: Leicester to win and each groups to rating (10/1 with Sky Bet)

Chelsea vs Brighton, Wednesday 7.30pm – Watch free highlights of this sport after full time

I’m very pro-Brighton on this one.

The market is way too skewed in the direction of Chelsea, who may be left alone at 4/11 with Sky Bet. This must be a very tactical affair with each groups vying to management the sport by means of possession and skilled organisation at the again the place chances are high exhausting to come by for the opposition. That is seen by means of each groups’ defensive processes over the previous 12 months within the Premier League. If you run the numbers since Thomas Tuchel was appointed in January, Chelsea (0.8) and Brighton (1.02) sit second and third respectively within the anticipated objectives towards per 90-minute charts with solely Manchester City (0.7) faring higher.

It’s that defensive construction proven from Brighton that’s offering the platform for them to persistently hassle the top-ranked groups within the Premier League. The 2-2 draw with Liverpool at Anfield from earlier this season being an ideal instance. The large caveat with Brighton is they’re a very untrustworthy crew in entrance of purpose which does make the outright away win exhausting to fancy on this one regardless of 8/1 with Sky Bet being obtainable.

However, of their final 23 video games towards groups that completed within the prime 9 of the Premier League final season, Brighton have solely misplaced three video games by a couple of purpose. Included in that run was a 0-0 draw at Stamford Bridge final season the place Graham Potter’s crew had extra photographs and corners than their top-four chasing hosts. That means I’m very happy to again Brighton with a +2 handicap purpose begin, that means we’ll win if Brighton win, draw or lose by one purpose.


BETTING ANGLE: Brighton +2 handicap (4/6 with Sky Bet)

Brentford vs Manchester City, Wednesday 8.15pm – Watch free highlights of this sport after full time

Some of Manchester City’s soccer within the first half of their win over Leicester was an ominous signal for his or her title rivals. They cantered right into a four-goal lead with out even needing to transfer out of second gear. Brentford are working at a mean of conceding two objectives per sport during the last 9 video games so will probably be an enormous shock if City fall beneath that common on this one.

As with most Manchester City matches at the second, the chance to unearth some worth from the betting markets is a tricky ask. Even our go-to Joao Cancelo photographs angle is now buying and selling at a a lot shorter value. That has led me to the playing cards market in quest of a betting alternative and the worth of 15/4 with Sky Bet for Brentford wing-back Sergi Canos to be carded does look backable. Likely to be tasked with retaining a lid on Raheem Sterling or Jack Grealish, the Spaniard is aggressive together with his challenges and has solely simply returned from a suspension having collected 5 bookings already this season.


BETTING ANGLE: Sergi Canos to be carded (15/4 with Sky Bet)

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