Premier League predictions: Jones Knows tips weekend wins for Brighton, Leicester and Aston Villa

The Premier League returns with an thrilling set of matches this weekend and our tipster Jones Knows has acquired you coated for insights, predictions and betting angles.

Brighton vs Crystal Palace, Friday 8pm, stay on Sky Sports

Brighton vs Crystal Palace stay on Sky Sports

An unorthodox derby? Yes. But a really watchable one involving two groups that prefer to play progressive, attacking soccer.

Brighton’s exemplary defensive file by way of anticipated targets in opposition to, added to Palace’s lack of ability to select up outcomes on the street, means I’m blissful to aspect with the house crew to win a good encounter. Patrick Vieira’s crew solely have one win from their 9 away days this season and that, amazingly, got here at Manchester City – a consequence that continues to be City’s solely house defeat of the season.

Brighton and Hove Albion
Crystal Palace

Friday 14th January 7:00pm

Kick off 8:00pm

I’ve gone fishing elsewhere than the standard markets for a betting angle. Should the tallest participant within the Premier League, who scored a header in his final Premier League sport, actually be 28/1 to attain one other header? Well, that is the fact of the chances on Dan Burn’s possibilities of scoring one in opposition to Palace, who’ve conceded 11 targets from set items this season (excluding penalties) – solely Leicester (12) have conceded extra.

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Burn has began the final 5 video games for Graham Potter at centre-back and his apparent aerial menace is a weapon for Brighton to utilise in a sport the place they need to achieve loads of set-piece conditions. Burn strides into the match not solely with a aim to his identify in his final Premier League look, but additionally having gained 14 aerial duels within the FA Cup conflict with West Brom on the weekend. No participant has gained extra in a single sport throughout the Premier League and FA Cup this season.


BETTING ANGLE: Dan Burn to attain a header (28/1 with Sky Bet)

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Manchester City vs Chelsea, Saturday 12.30

This must be a fascinating encounter, albeit a low scoring one, if my maths and equations are right.

Manchester City are roaring away in direction of the Premier League title, profitable their final 11 league matches and scoring 33 targets within the course of. Odds of 4/6 with Sky Bet for a house win is prone to tempt many in. Not me although.

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Chelsea have confirmed that their winter wobble was simply that, a wobble.

Since the fortieth minute of their 2-2 draw with Liverpool, Thomas Tuchel has acquired his crew functioning like a well-oiled machine once more. Tuchel had acquired the higher of Man City on the final three events earlier than the 1-0 defeat at Stamford Bridge earlier this season. In the 4 conferences between Pep Guardiola’s City and Tuchel’s Chelsea solely six targets have been scored. Low-scoring matches are a typical denominator in relation to Tuchel and essential soccer matches.

In 19 such fixtures (Champions League knockouts, cup semi-finals and finals and top-four clashes within the Premier League) the typical complete match targets stands at simply 1.6 targets with solely two of these 19 going over the two.5 targets line.

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And regardless of City’s glorious general goalscoring file, my mind is fast to remind me that of their final two Premier League matches, their attacking course of has appeared fairly rusty. Against Brentford (1.04) and Arsenal (1.15) they posted their third and fourth lowest non-penalty anticipated targets figures of the season and have been very lucky to steal three factors off the Gunners. That nagging doubt about their probability creation potential in opposition to a good defence like Chelsea’s solely provides gasoline to a goal-shy encounter.

Therefore, I used to be stunned to see the underneath 2.5 targets buying and selling at Evens with Sky Bet.


BETTING ANGLE: Under 2.5 targets (Evens with Sky Bet)

Burnley vs Leicester, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!

Leicester’s assault is purring, and I need to soar aboard them for this journey to Turf Moor at 7/5 with Sky Bet.

The Foxes have scored 27 targets of their final 11 video games throughout all competitions – and that run has included fixtures in opposition to Manchester City, Liverpool and Chelsea. Meanwhile, they’ve scored two or extra targets in 50 per cent of their Premier League video games this season, and in the event that they meet that required aim common on this fixture then it is laborious to see Burnley getting something from the match. They have not managed to attain two targets in a sport in any of their final six fixtures and have the hangover of dropping Chris Wood to Newcastle to take care of – together with Maxwell Cornet being on the Africa Cup of Nations.

Few gamers are in higher kind proper now than James Maddison, and his possibilities of scoring are value including into the away win guess. Playing in his favoured function off the entrance, he has scored in 4 of his final 5 appearances.


BETTING ANGLE: James Maddison to attain in a Leicester win (9/2 with Sky Bet)

Newcastle vs Watford, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!

Just take a look at Watford’s subsequent three fixtures: Newcastle (a), Burnley (a) and Norwich (h), all inside a seven-day interval, beginning with this journey to St James’ Park the place, surprisingly, the temper stays excessive within the stands regardless of only one win in 19 Premier League video games this season and a cup exit by the hands of Cambridge. The house followers can even be buoyed by the sign of intent from the house owners so as to add high quality to the ranks. In a sport the place the margins shall be tight and nervousness ranges excessive, a vocal and supportive house crowd like St James’ Park is an enormous benefit when forming an opinion on the sport.

Without any confidence on my half, I’ll aspect with Newcastle on that foundation however all three match outcomes are simply argued in a really tight affair to name.

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Claudio Ranieri’s crew at present sit exterior the relegation zone on 13 factors however that could possibly be a unique story on the finish of this gigantic week. They have misplaced their final seven matches throughout all competitions and stay with no clear sheet this season. Since November 20, these two groups have averaged between them a whopping 2.33 targets conceded per 90 minutes, so if you happen to fancy one of many match consequence outcomes, sticking the each groups to attain into your guess appears a wise play.


BETTING ANGLE: Newcastle to win and each groups to attain (11/4 with Sky Bet)

Norwich vs Everton, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!

Another Norwich sport, one other win to nil on their opponents copped the return vs West Ham. I had mistimed my soar off that exact prepare as I put my religion in Dean Smith’s aspect to at the very least rating at West Ham – one thing their anticipated targets information pointed too – but when something, Norwich turned of their worst attacking efficiency underneath Smith. That is a big fear as Teemu Pukki and Milot Rashica have been each match to start out. The excuses are operating out. It’s now over 551 minutes for the reason that Canaries scored within the Premier League.

However, if the season began on October 2, they would not be backside. Everton would.

Rafa Benitez’s crew have gained solely certainly one of their final 12 Premier League video games, taking six factors from 36. This is a state of affairs the place I do not need to again both crew to win, so the draw needs to be the play at 12/5 with Sky Bet.


Wolves vs Southampton, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!

I do know which crew I’d somewhat pay to look at, however that is not what you are asking of me right here, is it? Wolves have the hardest chin within the Premier League nevertheless it’s laborious to get enthusiastic about analysing or watching their video games. Just 5 targets have been scored of their final eight Premier League fixtures. Southampton scored 4 in a single sport in midweek however aren’t identified for their reliable ending when assessing the long-term numbers. I’ll edge in direction of a slim house win.

I need to again the guests to be sensible sufficient to get into some harmful positions up in opposition to the Wolves low block although. I used to be tempted by their photographs costs with 12 or extra out there at 5/4 however I’ve gone again to an previous pal that has served me effectively this season. The Southampton corners guess.

Southampton have gained the fifth most corners within the Premier League this season (114), racking up a tally that reads 2, 6. 8, 7, 7 from their final 5 fixtures away from house because the attack-minded nature of their full-backs means loads of alternatives for corners being gained down the channels.

Sky Bet’s line for them to win 5 or extra at Evens definitely has a robust probability of touchdown.


BETTING ANGLE: Southampton to win 5 or extra corners (Evens with Sky Bet)

Aston Villa vs Manchester United, Saturday 5.30, stay on Sky Sports

Aston Villa vs Manchester United stay on Sky Sports

I needed to test the costs thrice to verify there wasn’t an error. Yes, Manchester United actually are favourites to win this soccer match.

Purely their outcomes underneath Ralf Rangnick would make their tag as 6/5 jollies with Sky Bet look respectable. But for these making an attempt to get forward of the markets the place attainable, efficiency ranges and key metrics are rather more dependable to gauge a crew’s general form-line. And it would not take an analytical genius to conclude that Manchester United are struggling in virtually each division of their sport underneath the brand new boss. All you want is a pair of eyes.

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Quite how Aston Villa have been dumped out of the FA Cup at Old Trafford was a little bit of a thriller. But revenge appears set to be on the playing cards at Villa Park. The draw no guess angle at 5/4 on Steven Gerrard’s aspect charges a assured wager.

Aston Villa
Manchester United

Saturday fifteenth January 5:00pm

Kick off 5:30pm

Of course, in some unspecified time in the future such is the expertise of the people throughout the United squad, their efficiency ranges are going to rocket and make a prediction of this nature look very silly. But on what we have seen from this wildly inconsistent and irritating set of gamers in opposition to the likes of Norwich, Newcastle and Burnley over the previous few weeks, they merely should be taken on.


BETTING ANGLE: Aston Villa draw no guess (5/4 with Sky Bet)

Sunday’s video games to comply with…

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