Premier League predictions: Liverpool to win at Chelsea

Fresh from some midweek winners, Jones Knows takes goal at the Premier League matches this weekend…

Any midweek winners for Jones Knows?

  • Leicester to beat Liverpool at 13/2
  • Brighton +2 handicap & 10+ photographs at 4/1
  • Chelsea to draw 1-1 with Brighton 10/1
  • Lucas Moura to have a shot on track at 11/10
  • Crystal Palace to win to nil vs Norwich at 5/4
  • Wins for Man City, Palace & West Ham

Live: SNF

Saturday 1st January 5:00pm

Brentford vs Aston Villa, Sunday 2pm, dwell on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Aston Villa have turn out to be one of many meanest defences within the Premier League since Steven Gerrard took cost.

It’s offering them with a unbelievable base to work with when it comes to getting optimistic outcomes. Since the arrival of Gerrard in November, Villa have received 4 of their seven Premier League video games with all three defeats coming towards Liverpool, Chelsea and Manchester City. In these 4 wins towards Brighton, Crystal Palace, Norwich and Leicester they’ve averaged an anticipated targets towards determine of 0.7 per sport and confronted a median of simply 8.2 photographs per sport. Of course, it is a small pattern dimension however that is a defensive document that places them on par with Manchester City. The early indicators are very optimistic for the longer term for Gerrard and his new membership.

Meanwhile, Brentford are a strong aspect at residence that do not supply up many probabilities to their opposition, as Manchester City discovered as they created simply 1.04 anticipated targets towards the Bees – the bottom whole they’ve posted on the street this season. To have performed City, Chelsea, Liverpool and Arsenal at residence this season and to have the sixth-best residence anticipated targets towards output is a severe achievement for a newly-promoted aspect.

When you consider each defences, a low scoring affair must be on the playing cards. Villa maybe have that additional little bit of high quality within the remaining third so I’ve taken them to edge it.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1

BETTING ANGLE: Aston Villa to win and below 2.5 targets (4/1 with Sky Bet)

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Everton vs Brighton, Sunday 2pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

I can not have Brighton on this one at 11/8 with Sky Bet, particularly if Dominic Calvert-Lewin is match to play. He will be the difference-maker on his return bringing with him a 50 per cent win charge when he performs towards 21 per cent when he is lacking.

Brighton haven’t got somebody of his ruthlessness or energy within the remaining third which can proceed to maintain them again at placing collectively constant successful runs. They have additionally received simply one in every of their final 13 Premier League video games, albeit drawing 9 of these.

Brighton had been remarkably spectacular at Stamford Bridge in midweek however one space the place they struggled was their lack of ability to defend set-pieces. That in all probability stems from Lewis Dunk being lacking. Over their final 5 fixtures, Brighton have shipped 5.2 photographs per sport from set-pieces, the third-highest common of all Premier League groups throughout that interval.

With him nonetheless within the therapy room, Everton must be assured of getting loads of pleasure from these areas.

My eyes have been drawn to the ten/11 on Michael Keane having a number of photographs at objective. The Everton centre-back carries a giant risk when venturing ahead and has fired a shot in 12 of his 17 appearances this season.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1

BETTING ANGLE: Michael Keane to have 1+ photographs (10/11 with Sky Bet)

Leeds vs Burnley, Sunday 2pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Bring your arduous hats. If you want your soccer tough, prepared and filled with fouls then that is proper up your road. The significance of this match will not be misplaced on each units of gamers and the environment inside Elland Road is probably going to gentle the contact paper. Unlike different groups who might drop right into a relegation scrap, the Leeds followers look prepared to muck in with their workforce. They are behind the supervisor and appear very united after a wave of accidents has decimated their squad, none extra so than to Kalvin Phillips, who appears to be like set to be out till March. A seismic blow to their hopes of climbing the desk.

Burnley might be arriving with three factors on their thoughts, too. A win for them would draw Leeds proper into the combination. The match costs look about proper to me with Leeds rightly favoured at Evens and Burnley at 13/5. If you are pushing me, I’ll play the draw and go searching within the playing cards market.

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The reverse fixture at Turf Moor between these two produced seven playing cards and with the explosive environment predicted, referee Kevin Friend might have his arms full. Leeds sit high of probably the most yellow playing cards awarded desk this season (50) but additionally have drawn probably the most yellow playing cards from the opposition in 2021 (88). Unsurprisingly, their fixtures this season have averaged extra playing cards than some other workforce. The sport to produce 50+ reserving factors at odds-against ought to do the enterprise.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

BETTING ANGLE: 50+ reserving factors (11/10 with Sky Bet)

Chelsea vs Liverpool, Sunday 4.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports

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Chelsea vs Liverpool, dwell on Sky Sports

I’m throughout a Liverpool away win at 11/8 with Sky Bet.

My tendency in these ‘monster’ encounters between two title succesful successful groups is to go looking for worth for the sport to be a low-scoring, tactical affair. Not this time. Even at this stage of the season attracts aren’t any use for each of their pursuit of Manchester City. Three factors or nothing has to be the strategy of assault.

This sport has the hallmarks of a traditional, involving loads of goalmouth motion and photographs – and on the premise of what I’ve seen from Chelsea up to now few weeks, a lot of the assaults might be steamrolling of their path.

Whether it could be health points or only a basic insecurity within the camp, they’re miles away from their early-season efficiency ranges. The means during which Brighton reduce by means of their midfield time-after-time on Wednesday may have received Jurgen Klopp licking his lips as may have the shortage of probabilities created from open play from the Blues. Remember, this can be a Chelsea workforce that towards Arsenal on the second week of the season created 18 probabilities from open play in a single fixture. Such is their present malaise, they’ve created a complete of 18 probabilities from open play of their final three fixtures mixed towards Brighton, Aston Villa and Wolves.

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Liverpool have not received that drawback. Yes, they head to Stamford Bridge on the again of a defeat to Leicester nevertheless it’s not a time to panic for them. The attacking course of stays frighteningly good, averaging simply over 2.5 anticipated targets per 90 minutes of their final eight fixtures. Chelsea have stored only one clear sheet of their final eight Premier League video games. It’s arduous to see them bettering that document towards the rampant Reds ahead line.

With the anticipated match state of affairs being one in every of excessive tempo, targets and attracts being no good to both workforce, the match photographs market can also be price a go to. Liverpool are averaging 19.5 photographs per 90 minutes this season and I’d anticipate them to hit just under that quantity on this one as Chelsea are transport extra photographs on their objective than earlier this season.

Brighton managed 18 in midweek, Leeds hit 12 and Watford 14. With Tuchel’s workforce unlikely to be allowed to sit again by the house crowd, they will be flying ahead and also needs to be relied on to get photographs away. That makes the photographs traces with Sky Bet very interesting with 27+ (11/10), 29+ (15/8) and 31+ (3/1) price a nibble.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-3

BETTING ANGLE: Liverpool to win and 28+ whole match photographs (5/1 with Sky Bet)

Manchester United vs Wolves prediction to comply with

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