After tipping two 33/1 winners final week, together with Declan Rice to rating first, Jones Knows is again along with his Premier League predictions and betting angles.
West Ham United vs Tottenham Hotspur, Sunday 12pm, stay on Sky Sports
When I see the phrases West Ham, I come over in the identical response as to when somebody asks me to do some algebra. My head simply goes to jelly. West Ham are my unsolvable equation.
When I fancy them, they lose. When I take them on, they flip into the Brazil workforce from the Nineteen Seventies.
Deep down my intestine and the numbers are telling me they’re overperforming nonetheless and popping out on the appropriate aspect of some advantageous margins however David Moyes has created a well-oiled machine and has invested shrewdly in gamers with factors to show in ahead areas.
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Saying that, I’m undecided Moyes has the instruments to beat the elite groups. There is after all an argument to recommend whether or not Tottenham needs to be included in that class after choosing up simply 11 factors of their final 11 Premier League video games. But, Hammers followers rejoice, I’m completely satisfied to play the away win right here.
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Moyes has by no means crushed a Jose Mourinho aspect in 15 makes an attempt – probably the most he has confronted a supervisor in his profession with out successful and certainly Mourinho has to let his aspect off the leash right here.
And when the boss permits his entrance gamers to licence to play, there’s a good probability Harry Kane and Heung-min Son are going to hyperlink up to devastating impact. Kane has assisted a Son objective 9 instances this season and I’m completely satisfied to take a punt on the 8/1 for one more.
JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 1-2
BETTING ANGLE: Heung-min Son to rating a objective assisted by Harry Kane (8/1 with Sky Bet)
Aston Villa vs Leicester, Sunday 2.30pm, stay on Sky Sports
Has Aston Villa’s season peaked? Midway by January, I used to be critically shut to backing them for a top-four end however their performances have stalled within the final 4 video games. In reality, Dean Smith’s aspect can depend themselves fairly lucky to come out of that run with seven factors when assessing their attacking knowledge. In that interval, they really sit backside of the anticipated targets scored desk within the Premier League, registering a determine of simply 2.65. Before that, that they had ranked third within the division for whole anticipated targets scored. Only West Brom have had fewer photographs than them of their final 4 video games too with simply 33 registered.
I’ve bought to be towards them this week the place that lack of attacking risk comes up towards a brick wall of a Leicester defence.
Brendan Rodgers’s aspect have conceded only one objective of their final 5 video games – Mohamed Salah managed to break by within the win over Liverpool, however that is been it. It’s no coincidence this advantageous run has developed with Caglar Soyuncu again to full health. The undeniable fact that Leicester have coped so easily with out the Turkish worldwide this season is a testomony to the administration of Rodgers and the potential proven by Wesley Fofana.
It was solely lower than six months in the past that Soyuncu was being talked about as a potential Manchester City goal after a formidable season with the Foxes the place he helped them ease the burden of dropping Harry Maguire. Soyuncu’s affect, added to a tailing off of Villa’s attacking course of, makes me just like the look of the 5/2 for a Foxes clear sheet.
JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 0-1
BETTING ANGLE: Leicester clear sheet (5/2 with Sky Bet)
Arsenal vs Manchester City, Sunday 4.30pm, stay on Sky Sports
So, the run goes on.
Victory at Everton was Manchester City’s seventeenth win in a row in all competitions, their twelfth within the Premier League. They haven’t trailed for a single minute in any of their final 16 Premier League video games – the final time they fell behind in any sport was towards Sky Bet League Two aspect Cheltenham Town, who had been simply 9 minutes away from knocking them out of the FA Cup. Funny previous sport.
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Can Arsenal turn into that workforce to finish this successful run? They have the defensive capabilities to achieve this. Much like Pep Guardiola’s successful machine, Mikel Arteta’s workforce play with imperious construction with out the ball and have the power to malfunction a free-flowing assault, like they did to City of their 2-0 FA Cup semi-final win final season. I believe they can get a result.
A typical theme this season in conferences between the standard “big six” has been a lack of targets in accordance to what the market expects with 5 0-0’s seen already this season.
Although it is not a guess for everybody to get on board with as a objective ends all curiosity, the 0-0 is value a little tickle at 12/1 with Sky Bet. It would not be a catastrophe for each groups.
JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 0-0 (12/1 with Sky Bet)
Manchester United vs Newcastle United, Sunday 7pm
I need to get Newcastle on my aspect on this one.
Manchester United look a workforce on the verge of encountering a dangerous run of kind that each one the top-six golf equipment have confronted at some level this season. You might argue Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s are literally already within the midst of a sticky patch with only one win from their final 4 league video games vs Sheffield United, Southampton, Everton and West Brom.
It was that efficiency at the Baggies, backed up by equally nervous showings of late, that means to me that it is going to be a wrestle for them to maintain onto second place for for much longer. Sam Allardyce’s males defended resolutely, sure, however they had been by no means put underneath any strain from United’s ahead play. An anticipated targets determine of simply 0.47 – their second lowest recorded this season – showcased simply how a lot inspiration they lacked within the ultimate third. They are simply swerved right here at 1/4 with Sky Bet.
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There appears to be a feeling that Newcastle are severe relegation contenders however a fast look at the desk sees them six factors away from the drop. I’d be very shocked in the event that they even get dragged into the scrap if they continue to be taking part in on this extra attack-minded type we have seen of late. This is not the Newcastle of a few weeks in the past that embarrassed themselves in a 1-0 defeat at Sheffield United. It’s a braver, extra forward-thinking method.
Since switching to this diamond-like formation midway by their defeat to Leeds with Miguel Almiron taking part in within the pocket, Newcastle are averaging just below two targets a sport nonetheless and 12.5 photographs a sport. I believed they dealt with themselves fairly nicely at Chelsea, registering 10 photographs at objective – probably the most Thomas Tuchel has confronted within the league since taking on at Stamford Bridge. Yes, there’s going to be a drawback ending these possibilities with out Callum Wilson however taking part in this fashion will nonetheless get Newcastle into harmful areas of the pitch with Allan Saint-Maximin an apparent risk.
There’s numerous betting angles I’m eager to assault. Perhaps the strongest one, by way of nailing a return, can be to again Newcastle with a two-goal head begin at 10/11. So, for the guess to win Newcastle both want to win, draw or lose by one objective.
This is a guess that might have received backing the opposing workforce in 14 of Manchester United’s final 16 matches.
I additionally just like the 11/10 for Newcastle to have 10 or extra photographs and would not be towards taking part in the 9/2 for 13 or extra photographs.
JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 1-1
BETTING ANGLE: Newcastle +2 (10/11 with Sky Bet)
BETTING ANGLE: Newcastle to have 13 or extra photographs (9/2 with Sky Bet)
Brighton vs Crystal Palace, Monday 8pm, stay on Sky Sports
If Crystal Palace proceed to play with the identical lacklustre perspective on present of their final two defeats at Leeds and at residence to Burnley, then Fulham might need a probability of chasing them down within the relegation battle. They are seemingly meandering in the direction of the tip of the season the place Roy Hodgson is out of contract and a change within the dugout is likely afoot. It’s not a great state of affairs if they’re to be dragged into the scrap. Will the gamers be motivated?
Brighton, in the meantime, are a membership heading in the wrong way underneath Graham Potter. Yes, cricket rating scorelines aren’t going to be racked up of their favour however their course of with and with out the ball can make them a potential pressure on this league if gamers proceed to enhance. With Wilfried Zaha nonetheless within the therapy room, beleaguered Palace could wrestle to stay with Brighton’s elegant method.
Somehow Palace walked away with a 1-1 draw at Selhurst Park within the reverse fixture regardless of having only one shot on objective throughout the 90 minutes in contrast to Brighton’s 20. It’s very tough to see how Hodgson’s boys are going to bother a defence that has conceded simply two targets of their final seven matches. Home win.
JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 2-0
BETTING ANGLE: Brighton to win to nil (7/4 with Sky Bet)
Southampton vs Chelsea
JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 1-1
CORRECT SCORE: 1-1
BETTING ANGLE: Cesar Azpilicueta to obtain a card (4/1 with Sky Bet) – LOST
Burnley vs West Brom
JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 2-1
CORRECT SCORE: 0-0
BETTING ANGLE: Both groups to rating and over 2.5 targets (6/4 with Sky Bet) – LOST
Liverpool vs Everton
JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 3-0
CORRECT SCORE: 0-2
BETTING ANGLE: Thiago to choose up a card (100/30 with Sky Bet) – LOST
Fulham vs Sheffield United
JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 0-1
CORRECT SCORE: 1-0
BETTING ANGLE: Sheffield United to be caught offside three or extra instances (10/11 with Sky Bet) – WON
Wolves vs Leeds United
JONES KNOWS PREDICTED: 2-1
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