Tottenham vs Arsenal: Spurs host north London rivals with Champions League qualification at stake

Tottenham host Arsenal reside on Sky Sports this Thursday with Champions League qualification at stake – however how do the groups’ present kinds and type evaluate forward of the blockbuster conflict?

The Gunners presently reside within the prime 4 on 66 factors – 4 away from their north London rivals with three video games left to play, so Mikel Arteta’s facet might safe a top-four end with three factors at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

But how do the groups evaluate tactically and what can we anticipate when the groups conflict in entrance of the Sky cameras?

Tottenham Hotspur

Thursday twelfth May 7:00pm

Kick off 7:45pm

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What’s the fashion?

Antonio Conte has had greater than six months as Tottenham head coach since changing Nuno Espirito Santo final yr and has applied his customary three-at-the-back beginning formation in 24 of his 25 league video games at the helm.

Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta has primarily deployed a 4-2-3-1 system this time period, however has additionally experimented with a 4-4-1-1 and 4-1-4-1, whereas lining up in a 5-4-1 on one event in opposition to Manchester City again in August.

As the graphic beneath reveals, Spurs have a tendency to sit down deeper and rely upon the three forwards and wing-backs to counter, whereas the Gunners construct greater up the pitch – leaving solely the goalkeeper and centre-backs averaging in their very own half.

Both sides are inclined to assault most incessantly and pose the best menace down their respective proper flanks, primarily by way of Dejan Kulusevski and Buyao Saka for the house and away sides, respectively.

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Spurs defender Eric Dier and Arsenal counterpart Gabriel journey farther with the ball at their ft than every other gamers, however Heung-Min Son and Saka make notable inroads farther up the pitch.

Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg and Gabriel are the groups’ respective pass-masters, however anticipate Martin Odegaard and Granit Xhaka to dominate possession within the center third.

The runners

Harry Kane has run farther than every other participant among the many groups this season, whereas strike companion Heung-Min Son registers prime for sprints

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Attacks analysed

If a top-four berth was awarded for objectives scored, then Spurs would make the reduce with their 60 objectives to this point rating fourth within the Premier League – 4 greater than their upcoming guests – however Arteta’s facet ought to have outscored their hosts this time period, in response to expected-goal knowledge.

The Gunners have additionally fired 108 extra makes an attempt at purpose than Spurs this season and narrowly edge their rivals for photographs on track, whereas each groups incessantly muster quick breaks – a tactic Spurs have incessantly executed with devastating impact underneath Conte.

The purpose maps beneath reveal Arsenal are stronger contained in the six-yard field and alongside a band starting from the penalty spot to the left-of-centre space, whereas Spurs are harmful centrally simply outdoors the six-yard space, near the D and on both facet of the field.

Son has hit a purple patch of type of late, racking up 11 purpose involvements in his previous seven league outings, extending his league tally to twenty objectives and now sits solely two shy of Mohamed Salah within the race for the Golden Boot – regardless of xG estimating his anticipated returns must be merely 13.

Heung-Min Son is closing in on Mohamed Salah within the Golden Boot race

Arsenal have shared objectives across the squad this time period with their well-documented lack of an everyday and prolific striker, however Eddie Nketiah has been firing on all cylinders since incomes an everyday beginning berth up prime, whereas Saka and Emile Smith Rowe have netted 11 and 10 league objectives, respectively.

In phrases of artistic hotspots, Spurs have a tendency to fireplace killer passes instantly upfield from deeper central areas or from large passes simply outdoors the field into the six-yard field, whereas Arsenal usually tee up objectives with cut-back passes in and across the penalty space.

Tottenham duo Harry Kane – who has additionally tried extra quick breaks than every other participant among the many two sides – and Dejan Kulusevski paved the way for assists with eight apiece, with Son just one behind his team-mates.

Tottenham's Heung-Min Son additionally fires way more passes into the opposition field than any team-mate or Arsenal participant

For Arteta’s facet, Alexandre Lacazette loved a artistic surge in type to increase his league tally to seven assists earlier than shedding his beginning place, forward of Saka (six) and Gabriel Martinelli (5), whereas Odegaard conjures essentially the most alternatives.

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Defences in contrast

Both defences broadly replicate their present league standings – with Spurs conceding 40 objectives and Arsenal delivery 42, rating fifth and sixth within the Premier League, respectively.

In phrases of successful again possession, Spurs are way more aggressive in their very own defensive third – which displays their deeper fashion – whereas Arsenal outmuscle their upcoming hosts within the center and ultimate thirds.

So anticipate a battle in Spurs’ territory when the hosts look to beat the press and break by way of the Gunners’ defensive position, with Arteta’s males trying to shield the counter and preserve possession greater up the pitch.

In phrases of the gamers, Odegaard and Saka win the ball again most incessantly within the attacking third, however Spurs holding midfielder Hojbjerg is out on his personal for recoveries within the center third and likewise tops the listing for reclaiming possession within the defensive third.

In phrases of objectives conceded, Arsenal seem barely extra susceptible on their left facet – usually an space marshalled by Gabriel – whereas Tottenham have been liable to leaking objectives from vary.

Opposition groups have usually appeared to assault the appropriate flank of each groups, exposing Arsenal right-backs Takehiro Tomiyasu or Cedric, and Spurs’ counterparts Emerson Royal, Japhet Tanganga or Matt Doherty.

The solidity maps beneath reveal Arsenal are weakest in defensive areas however stay a strong power in opposition territory, whereas the inverse is true for Conte’s group – which displays their numbers for possession received within the defensive, center and ultimate thirds.

Arsenal are marginally extra error-prone then Spurs, having made 20 errors resulting in photographs – of which, 5 resulted in objectives. While the places of those mishaps are pretty distributed, there’s a slight skew to their proper flank, which is attacked extra incessantly.

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Who’s crimson scorching?

Unsurprisingly, Golden Boot candidate Son tops the present type listing, in response to the Sky Sports Power Rankings – which awards factors to gamers in response to beginning place, based mostly on 35 matchday stats.

However, in-form Arsenal striker Nketiah is scorching on the heels of the South Korea worldwide going into the north London derby.

Son additionally leads the chart for season type – by a staggering 16,000-point margin, forward of Saka, team-mate Kane and Arsenal goalkeeper Aaron Ramsdale.

Check out the group and participant stats

The groups

The gamers

Last day out

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Essential Football Podcast: North London derby particular – Antonio Conte unique & Alan Smith’s preview

Ahead of Thursday’s season-defining North London derby, Sky Sports digital soccer journalist Jack Wilkinson heads to the Tottenham coaching floor to talk with boss Antonio Conte, earlier than senior soccer journalist Oliver Yew sits down with former Arsenal striker Alan Smith for the view from the crimson half of north London.

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