Brussels Playbook: Macron loses — Politics and nature — Brussels strikes – POLITICO

PUBLIC TRANSPORT STRIKE: Public transport will likely be closely disrupted in Brussels at present, after transport staff referred to as a strike. Some 70,000 demonstrators are anticipated to take to the streets. The solely metro line presently working is 1. Check for updates right here.

DRIVING THE DAY: FRENCH ELECTION FALLOUT        

VOTERS PUNISH MACRON: French President Emmanuel Macron final night time misplaced his absolute majority within the National Assembly, that means he’ll want the help of different events within the parliament to again his authorities and go legal guidelines.

The numbers: With nearly all votes counted, Macron’s Ensemble coalition is on monitor to win 245 seats, down from 345 within the outgoing chamber. NUPES, a coalition of left, far-left and inexperienced events led by populist Jean-Luc Mélenchon, is ready to win 141 seats. Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally will possible stroll away with 89 seats — up from simply six. POLITICO’s Clea Caulcutt has the total particulars.

WHAT IT MEANS: The outcomes are prone to result in weeks of negotiations as Macron seeks allies from rival events — and stares down the potential nightmare situation of 5 years of parliamentary impasse. The conservative Les Républicains, projected to win 61 seats, are potential allies, however Macron will want dozens of them to come back on board to have the ability to push his insurance policies by way of. Several Républicains made clear final night time that they aren’t thinking about an alliance.

**A message from Equinor: To obtain local weather neutrality by 2050, motion is known as for at present. We have offered our first Energy Transition Plan; a concrete plan of outlined actions to make sure we’re delivering on our net-zero ambition. The set targets, now to be accompanied by motion.**

Jobs for grabs: Several occasion heavyweights, together with the speaker of the National Assembly Richard Ferrand and former Interior Minister Christophe Castaner misplaced their seats. Health Minister Brigitte Bourguignon and Environment Minister Amélie de Montchalin additionally look to have misplaced theirs — which can possible power their resignations, as has been conference because the Sarkozy period.

Beaune scrapes in: Clément Beaune, France’s minister for European affairs, was elected as an MP with 50.7 % of the vote, simply beating his opponent Caroline Mécary’s 49.3 %. It means Beaune can keep on as a minister in Macron’s authorities, and his substitute Clara Chassaniol will take up his seat within the National Assembly. More from POLITICO’s Peter O’Brien.

WHAT WENT WRONG: Playbook takes you thru an early autopsy …

(Not) on the marketing campaign path: Macron’s absence from the marketing campaign path was considered by many as an indication he didn’t care about his citizens — poisonous for a president who was already affected by a picture of being overly smug.

Pensions: The left and far-left alliance vowed to sink Macron’s pension reform plans — regardless of the actual fact Macron initially sought to introduce a extra simply social system the place individuals’s lifetime earnings are thought of, as an alternative of simply their final years within the job. But the president’s abysmal communications in regards to the reform killed it. Instead, younger individuals voted for a 70-year-old who wished to revert to the best way issues had been 15 years in the past. But does that imply youths voted towards their rational self-interest, as many critics famous? Not fairly …

Environment: Young individuals really overwhelmingly abstained on Sunday — three-quarters of these aged 18 to 24 didn’t solid a poll. Those who did vote had been most involved about local weather change and the surroundings — NUPES’ massive subject. While Macron repeatedly vowed to be a inexperienced champion, 5 years on, he had little to point out for it. In Brussels, France didn’t use its Council presidency to push local weather information, however as an alternative repeatedly postponed discussions on the Fit for 55 local weather package deal, which stays in limbo partly as a result of France’s inaction.

GREEN CREDIBILITY FACT CHECK: The irony is NUPES blames the EU for stopping France from changing into a inexperienced paradise (and desires to ignore EU treaties if wanted to get there), although the other is nearer to the reality: Macron’s authorities has disregarded EU suggestions to undertake greener insurance policies, and circumvented the bloc’s environmental norms. In 2020, for instance, the French authorities gave farmers particular licenses for bee-killing pesticides banned by the EU.

In a more moderen case, the Commission earlier this yr despatched again Paris’ plan to make use of EU farm subsidies, primarily accusing France of greenwashing and not assembly minimal environmental requirements to scale back emissions brought on by agriculture.

None of EUr enterprise: Brussels deplored “the low level of environmental and climate ambition proposed” within the French plan to make use of public cash — to which the nation’s agriculture minister replied that Brussels ought to keep out of France’s plans. “If you read the letter, he basically tells the Commission to f*ck off,” a senior official instructed Playbook. More on the EU’s environmental efforts this week just under.

GREEN PACKAGE       

NATURE PROTECTION PACKAGE COMING: European commissioners’ heads of Cabinet will at present focus on the EU’s nature package deal, which incorporates binding targets for biodiversity restoration. The dialogue, to be held behind closed doorways, is extremely delicate — Commission President Ursula von der Leyen delayed the deliberate legislation, which was initially set to be unveiled in March, over inner disagreements.

Controversial discussions: Under the package deal, the Commission wished to chop using the riskiest poisonous pesticides in half by 2030. Scientists blame the vast use of pesticides on EU fields for the large extinction of untamed species and the deaths of necessary bugs resembling bees. The proposal additionally included restoration targets geared toward stopping biodiversity loss.

Internal objections: But quite a lot of commissioners, together with Poland’s Janusz Wojciechowski and Latvia’s Valdis Dombrovskis, have sought to water down a few of the proposals, officers instructed Playbook. Irish Commissioner Mairead McGuinness was crucial about stricter guidelines to guard peatlands, which Ireland’s turf-cutting trade opposes.

What’s subsequent: The proposal has already been watered down — however the dialogue at present will inform whether or not Commissioners Frans Timmermans and Virginijus Sinkevičius might want to make additional adjustments earlier than it may be signed off by the College of Commissioners on Wednesday.

NOW READ THIS: A bunch of MEPs is pushing for Brussels to beef up the EU public prosecutor’s mandate to additionally cowl environmental crime, POLITICO’s Louise Guillot studies.

**Do not miss the unique dialog with NATO’s Secretary common on June 22 at 4:30 p.m. Hear from Jens Stoltenberg what to anticipate on the NATO Madrid Summit. Register now!**

IN OTHER NEWS       

PP TRIUMPHS IN ANDALUCÍA: Spain’s center-right Popular Party scored a sweeping victory in Sunday’s election in Spain’s southernmost area. Juan Manuel Moreno, the conservative regional president (who had been governing with centrist Ciudadanos and the help of far-right Vox) secured an absolute majority, crushing Ciudadanos, which misplaced all its seats within the regional parliament, and placing an finish to Vox’s progress.

Why it issues: Consider this: Andalucía has a inhabitants of 8.5 million, that means it’s extra populous than 13 of the EU’s 27 member nations. Besides its sheer dimension, the vote issues as a result of Andalucía has traditionally been a stronghold of the Socialists, who got here in first in each one among its elections since Spain’s return to democracy.

Big winners: Moreno’s victory can also be a win for the PP’s new president, Alberto Núñez Feijóo, and his technique of aiming for the centrist, anti-extremist vote. The end result strengthens the occasion’s prospects for Spain’s common election, which is scheduled for the top of 2023 — except Pedro Sánchez’s authorities triggers an early vote.

ALL EYES ON SUWAŁKI GAP: If Russia tries to escalate its battle with NATO, it’s going to achieve this within the hall alongside the Polish-Lithuanian border that separates Russia’s Kaliningrade enclave from Belarus, many army consultants imagine. “What may be the most dangerous thing about the Suwałki Gap is its relative irrelevance,” our colleague Matthew Karnitschnig notes in at present’s must-read.

Matt writes: “A move by Russia on Poland or Lithuania would clearly trigger NATO’s Article 5 mutual defense provision … At least in theory. How eager would Washington and NATO be to risk Armageddon over a stretch of largely unpopulated farmland few of their citizens even know exists? It’s exactly the kind of edge case that [Russian President Vladimir] Putin has proved eager to test.”

Civilian aviation: Russian exiled political scientist Ivan Preobrazhensky final week warned in German media that Putin may check NATO’s resolve by first flying Russian civilian planes by way of the Suwałki Gap — which, like the remainder of EU airspace, is closed to Russian planes. Russia has stationed air protection rockets in Belarus and Kaliningrad, Preobrazhensky argued, which Putin may use to threaten to shoot down any NATO jets that intention to intercept the civilian planes.

HAPPENING THIS WEEK: Sweden will host this week’s assembly of the International Holocaust Remembrance Alliance (IHRA). In the lead-up, POLITICO has this opinion piece from Leon Saltiel, who writes: “I find myself grappling daily with how anti-Semitism still thrives, some eight decades after the end of World War II.”

CHINA READ: Casper Wits, a lecturer in East Asian research at Leiden University, has this op-ed on the existential plight of the Uyghurs in Xinjiang, and Europe’s complicity.

**Dive deep with POLITICO Pro. Get a 360° view of any subject by way of Pro’s connections between journalistic perception, knowledge and extra. Learn extra right here.**

AGENDA       

Foreign Affairs Council in Luxembourg. Arrivals from 8 a.m. High Representative Josep Borrell press convention anticipated 4:30 p.m. Watch.

EU-Kazakhstan Cooperation Council in Luxembourg.

— European Parliament President Roberta Metsola travels to Helsinki, Finland. Delivers keynote deal with on “Europe’s security and future” at Paasikivi Society occasion (4 p.m.). Watch.

— European Parliament’s Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs holds “monetary dialogue” with ECB chief Christine Lagarde. 3 p.m.

— European Council President Charles Michel meets with ECB chief Christine Lagarde at 7:15 p.m.

— Delegation from European Parliament’s Committee on Agriculture and Rural Development, led by Chair Norbert Lins, travels to the Polish-Ukrainian border.

— Central and Eastern European leaders attend the Three Seas Initiative Business Forum in Riga, Latvia. Arrivals from midday; press convention 3 p.m. Among the audio system: Latvia President Egils Levits, Bulgarian President Rumen Radev, Croatia PM Andrej Plenković, Estonian President Alar Karis, German President Frank-Walter Steinmeier, Polish President Andrzej Duda, Hungarian President Katalin Novák, Lithuania’s President Gitanas Nausėda, Romanian President Klaus Iohannis, Slovenia’s President Borut Pahor and European Commission Executive Vice President Valdis Dombrovskis. Agenda. Watch.

— Commissioner Janez Lenarčič in Ethiopia.

BRUSSELS CORNER       

BRUSSELS AIRPORT STRIKE: Brussels Airport has canceled all departing passenger flights at present after concluding a strike by safety employees meant it wouldn’t be capable to assure vacationers’ security. In a warning it despatched out previous to that nuclear transfer, the airport had raised fears of ready occasions of as much as eight hours, which it mentioned meant “many passengers will miss their flight and will be stranded at the airport until Tuesday morning.”

Nationalists push to make the airport Flemish: Meanwhile, members of parliament from the Flemish-nationalist N-VA occasion have proposed taking management of Brussels Airport from the federal degree, Hanne Cokelaere studies. The Belgian hub is situated in Zaventem, a Flemish municipality, however not like different airports is managed by the federal authorities. “We can no longer accept that the federal [level] decides and Flanders pays the price,” N-VA MP Sander Loones mentioned. Of course, Flanders additionally advantages from taxes, jobs and different firms which might be interested in the world by an airport most individuals use to fly to the capital of Belgium, not simply Flanders.

Why: The proposal has two goals, Loones instructed Hanne: to make clear the division of powers, and to “increase the pressure” to deal with the airport’s issues, together with its management and its connection to high-speed rail. The MPs argue that federal authorities deal with the airport as second-class, citing delayed tenders, poor rail connections, a scarcity of airport police, and “dirty political games” over the chair of the board of administrators.

BIRTHDAYS: Polish PM Mateusz Morawiecki; MEP Roberts Zīle; Former Mayor of Lyon Gérard Collomb; POLITICO’s Jeanette Minns; Google’s Elena Tosheva; EU Representation of Occitanie in Brussels’ Jordane Salducci; Benjamin Oppermann from the EPP group. World Refugee Day.

THANKS TO: Hanne Cokelaere, Christina Gennet and our producer Arnau Busquets Guàrdia.

UPDATE: This publication was up to date with the French election outcomes.

**A message from Equinor: We intention to be a net-zero power firm by 2050 and to attain that we now have adopted a transition plan with medium-term ambitions based mostly on concrete actions. But delivering on every pillar of our technique would require the required body situations and the help of coverage makers. For occasion, by 2030 we anticipate to direct greater than 50% of our gross investments in the direction of renewables and low carbon options like CCS and consequently we promote with governments the required allowing and fiscal regimes and making acreage accessible for each offshore wind and carbon storage.**

based mostly on website supplies www.politico.eu

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