Elections in Five States to Shape India’s Opposition Congress Party’s Politics for Years – Analysts

The two-month election course of in 5 states started final week with the formal announcement by the Election fee of India. Voting for 5 meeting elections will start on 27 March, and it will likely be held in a number of phases in states akin to West Bengal and Tamil Nadu. The end result will probably be declared for all states on 2 May.

Ahead of polls in 4 Indian states, the Congress occasion struggle rooms in central Delhi, the Gurdwara Rakab Ganj and the occasion places of work in Akbar Road at the moment are buzzing with extra exercise than they’ve seen for the reason that 2019 parliamentary elections.

The election will probably be held in the states of Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Assam and West Bengal and one Union Territory Puducherry. 

The Congress struggle room is very secured and entry is being stringently managed among the many media to senior-degree functionaries solely. It has, nevertheless, been noticed that spokesmen and senior leaders have began speaking to the media extra steadily than was the case two months in the past.

“Two months ago, no matter how important the issues were, the leader was only available during the media briefing, and most of the party leaders’ offices were either locked or used by someone else,” Jainendra Kumar, a TV journalist, highlights.

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Shekhar Iyer, a senior political analyst, believes that the forthcoming elections “arguably will have a greater significance for the Congress party than usual”.

In the states of Kerala and Assam, the place Congress is the primary opposition occasion, it “can hope for a win, but its inroads are tough and the party has to campaign extensively”.

“In Kerala, no party since 1977 has been elected for two continuous terms,” Iyer famous. 

At current the state is ruled by the Left Democratic Front (LDF) alliance which is led by the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)). Other events in the alliance are the Communist Party of India, Kerala Congress (M), Nationalist Congress Party, Janata Dal (Secular) and Indian National League. 

“The Congress-led United Democratic Front performed exceptionally well in the 2019 parliamentarian elections by winning 19 seats out of the state’s 20 parliamentary constituencies,” Iyer stated. “But in 2020, the state ruling alliance CPI (M)-LDF won the local elections, and Congress failed to match its performance in the parliamentary elections,” he added. 

Rahul Gandhi, a distinguished member of Congress and inheritor of the highly effective Nehru-Gandhi political dynasty, has been campaigning extensively in Kerala for the previous two weeks. 

Elsewhere, in the north-japanese state of Assam, Congress chief Priyanka Gandhi bought the election marketing campaign began. The state is taken into account a Congress stronghold – the occasion ruled the state for years – however it misplaced to Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Power in 2016.

​”There are many problems in Assam which may help Congress to win: unemployment, the Citizenship Amendment Act (CAA) – but the party’s leadership has to highlight these issues among voters very aggressively,” Iyer defined. 

The Indian Parliament cleared the CAA to allow “persecuted” Hindus, Sikhs, Christians, Buddhists, Jains, and Parsis from Pakistan, Bangladesh, and Afghanistan search citizenship.

However, civil society teams and a number of other political events in Assam lodged their robust protest to the invoice on the grounds that giving state citizenship to these migrants will probably be an assault on the identification and rights of the tribal individuals of the state.

Assam can be one of many states in India which has seen violent clashes between the police and other people due to the Act. 

However, one other challenge for Congress in Assam is that the occasion lacks a “state chief face”. 

“After the death of Senior Congress leader and three-time chief minister of the state Tarun Gogoi in April 2020, there seems to be no big Congress leader in the state who can run the election campaign,” Iyer added. 

In the opposite two states, Tamil Nadu and West Bengal, Congress is a junior participant contesting in alliance with the state occasion Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) and the Left entrance.

“Going by a recent opinion poll survey, the grand old party is unlikely to taste electoral success in any of the states. This is a disturbing thought for the Gandhis (Rahul and Priyanka) who are trying hard to defy opinion poll survey forecasts for Kerala and Assam,” Professor Bhanu Kumar Jha stated. 

Sourse: sputniknews.com

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