London Playbook: Apologies for Brexit — Cummings microblogs grenades — BoJo’s hols diary – POLITICO

Good Wednesday morning. This is Emilio Casalicchio taking the Playbook baton from Esther Webber. Alex Wickham will likely be again Thursday.

NEW GIG: You can’t hold a Duracell Bunny down for lengthy. Less than 4 months after being despatched to the backbenches for breaching his personal COVID guidelines, former Health Secretary Matt Hancock has a brand new (unpaid) job advising African nations how one can finest bounce again from the pandemic. A pal stated Hancock was headhunted by the U.N. and the job will enable him to enjoy his “long-standing love of Africa,” the place he’s stated to have traveled earlier than coming into politics. The Mail and Times notice Nimco Ali, the Downing Street adviser on violence in opposition to girls who occurs to be buddies with one Carrie Johnson, was instrumental in serving to Hancock safe the gig. Here’s the announcement and the change of letters.

NEW GIG II: Former Conservative MP Anna Soubry is again in court docket … working.

DRIVING THE DAY

FIRST, AN APOLOGY: It’s with nice remorse that Playbook has to substantiate Brexit is as soon as once more driving the day. More than 5 years after the EU referendum, it’s starting to come back to gentle {that a} commerce cope with the EU will not be the “easiest in human history” however the truth is fiendishly difficult because of tensions on the island of Ireland within the wake of the Troubles. However, following the newest months-long confrontation between the U.Okay. and the EU, right this moment ought to see some concrete developments within the row over the Northern Ireland protocol (the little bit of the Brexit deal that holds NI within the EU customs union and components of the only market to maintain the land border with Ireland open, on the expense a commerce border down the Irish Sea). With snore-a-thon authorized texts, technical “must-read” Twitter threads and even Brexit bombs from Dominic Cummings, it’s 2019 once more.

Turns out Brexit ain’t carried out: The European Commission will this afternoon current its proposals for easing the onerous checks on companies buying and selling throughout the Irish Sea whereas nonetheless conserving the only market and customs union protected from undesirable imports. EU Brexit point-man (and Commission Vice President) Maroš Šefčovič (pronounced “Marosh Shefchovitch” or “mæɹɒʃ ʃeftɒvɪtʃ” for fellow CELTA graduates) will maintain a press convention at 5.30 p.m. London time, with the sleep-inducing paperwork revealed on the Commission web site in the course of the afternoon. Expect a response from the U.Okay. sooner or later, however whether or not it’s substantive is one other query. Chances are it will likely be a ready sport of extra months earlier than the Brexit row strikes on once more in a tangible sense.

**A message from Sky: Introducing Sky Glass, the brand new streaming TV from Sky. The solely TV with Sky inside. No dish, no field, no fuss. Find out extra.**

What to count on: Almost each U.Okay. newspaper seems to have had the identical briefing about what to anticipate, together with the declare that as much as 50 % of customs checks might be scrapped, together with on chilled meats and crops transferring from Great Britain to Northern Ireland, plus the ending of checks on medicines. Goods meant for NI might go by way of a “green lane” with minimal checks, whereas these destined for the Republic of Ireland or the broader Continent could be put in a “red lane” for extra stringent procedures. Customs types could be carried out for total vans, moderately than particular person items — a proposal that can sound to merchants just like the candy rattle of a contemporary paracetamol blister pack. RTE’s Tony Connelly has a helpful Twitter thread for those that like their Brexit customs proposals chunkified.

Trigger warning: EU diplomats chatting with the Telegraph likened it to the long-forgotten “maximum facilitation” proposal (a.ok.a. the “Malthouse Compromise” plan from 2019), albeit with actual tech options as an alternative of imagined ones. Customs professional and commerce Twitter oracle Anna Jerzewska reckons the tough briefings sound like a giant deal — though stresses it’s price ready for the total deets. NI Retail Consortium boss Aodhán Michael Connolly additionally sounds constructive.

But however however: The Tele notes Brussels will make the supply conditional on getting real-time entry to U.Okay. commerce databases to police the motion of merchandise. The Brits are engaged on two bespoke methods, one for customs security types and one other to trace items into Ireland, and Brussels needs in. “We always needed access to these databases, but now with these new flexibilities that are being offered it is a must-have,” the paper quotes a diplomat as saying.

Ball in UK court docket: Expect British Brexit man David Frost to kick off about EU proposals on the Court of Justice of the European Union, or moderately their absence, which he was growling about throughout his speech in Portugal on Tuesday. The U.Okay. needs the CJEU relieved of its duties policing the protocol — as an alternative wanting an unbiased arbitration course of like in different commerce offers. There have been noises from Brussels in regards to the Brits utilizing the demand to maneuver the goalposts, however to be truthful it was within the U.Okay. negotiating goals in June.

Frost left chilly: The numerous stories point out there will likely be no proposal on court docket oversight — which means it might grow to be the make-or-break subject within the row. The BBC’s Katya Adler moots a attainable answer in one other Brexit thread. She notes that the Swiss have one other oversight mechanism beneath the CJEU of their preparations with Brussels, appearing as a buffer to resolve disputes earlier than EU judges should become involved. Could that work for the Brits?

Watch this area: “It looks as if the EU will be quite ambitious in its proposals on easements for customs and regulation, which would be welcome,” Raoul Ruparel, former Downing Street adviser on Brexit, informed Playbook. “However, Frost yesterday set a number of high bars for agreement to be reached, including essentially replacing the protocol and doing away entirely with any role for the ECJ. While the EU proposals may be forward-leaning, a lot will depend on how caveated or qualified they are and whether that reduces the level of easements introduced.”

What might occur subsequent: EU officers are anticipated in London for talks tomorrow, based on my Brussels Playbook colleagues. But if the U.Okay. continues to gripe and pushes Brussels towards imposing checks between the Republic of Ireland and the remainder of the bloc, the EU might go nuclear, Brexit professional Mujtaba Rahman famous on the weekend. And the diplos are usually not afraid of some combating speak. “A trade war is not something anyone here wants, which is why we are striving for constructive solutions like the one Šefčovič will present,” an EU diplomat informed my POLITICO colleague Hans von der Burchard. “If the U.Okay. refuses to go down this path, the EU will likely be ready.” (More right here in Hans and Cristina Gallardo’s write-up, together with particulars of the Frost speech.)

In quick: With the U.Okay. nonetheless threatening to set off the Article 16 suspension clause, it appears there’s nonetheless a good bit of brinkmanship to go. Will Brexit ever get carried out?

MEANWHILE, IN 4D CHESS: EU bigwigs questioning why the U.Okay. merrily signed a Brexit deal in 2019; fought an election banging on about how “oven-ready” it was; solely to later notice it was a little bit of a doozy for conserving the hard-fought peace in Northern Ireland, ought to try common abuse-hurling website Twitter dot com — specifically the profile of 1 Dominic Cummings. The former prime Downing Street aide was microblogging a collection of Brexit grenades final evening, together with an admission that workforce BoJo agreed the “best option” on Brexit after moving into Downing Street to maneuver the method alongside, however “intended to … ditch bits we didn’t like” after the 2019 election. Responding to Adam Payne from PoliticsResidence (no area within the title — belief me, I used to like writing their crack-of-dawn emails too), Cummings stated it was “never” his intention to settle for the negotiated textual content.

Wait, what? Cummings stated he had deliberate a brand new legislation permitting the U.Okay. to junk the bits of the protocol it thought had been lame so it might break worldwide legislation with out the chance of sanction from British courts. He urged Frost to do the identical now. He insisted Johnson was unaware of the plan in 2019 as a result of the PM “never had a scoobydoo what the deal he signed meant” within the first place. But he recommended Frost was properly conscious, arguing the de-facto Brexit minister “has to” preserve that the federal government wished to implement the protocol in full.

The upshot: Whether the PM knew it or not, the claims quantity to an admission that the 2019 election was fought on fully disingenuous grounds. John Cotter, a legislation lecturer at Keele uni, concluded that if true, the Tories had been “playing with” the Northern Ireland peace course of to win an election. He stated it was “absolutely deplorable, and I don’t think the word evil is an exaggeration.”

OTHER DOM GEMS: In his prolonged Twitter session final evening, Cummings argued the U.Okay. ought to break worldwide legislation the place required as different states do “every week;” stated Johnson — his identify typically supplanted with a easy 🛒 emoji to indicate a veering buying cart (sorry, U.Okay. readers) — “didn’t understand what the [customs union] was until Nov 2020;” lashed authorities authorized advisers; and complained that making an attempt to unravel the constitutional disaster he created (and nonetheless isn’t solved) had been a little bit of a tall order. To choose a favourite, this change was one for the ages.

Twitter spat(s) of the evening: Cummings additionally ended up in a row with Anand Menon, Brexit professional and boss of the U.Okay. in a Changing Europe suppose tank, urging the revered educational to “spell out what youre on about or pipe down youre not yoda ffs” (sic). He additionally referred to as Piers Morgan a “vain tool shouting angry soundbites and calling it ‘news.’”

Not to be forgotten: Former Downing Street Chief of Staff Gavin Barwell had a superb go at Frost, for those that missed it, and adopted up later with a couple of extra seething explainers. Barwell is up this morning at an IfG occasion to plug his new e book on his time working for then-PM Theresa May in the course of the Brexit wars — and he’ll little doubt have extra to say on the present drama. He’s chatting with Catherine Haddon from 11 a.m.

IN NON-BREXIT NEWS, HONEST: The do-do is hitting the fan at Felixstowe Port, the place COVID points, the HGV driver scarcity and excessive demand for Christmas landfill has triggered such a backlog of transport containers on the dockside that crates are being turned again. “I don’t want to sound like a Grinch but there are going to be gaps on shelves this Christmas,” one transport boss informed the Times in its splash story. Staff shortages, together with the HGV points, are additionally hitting NHS laundry providers, based on PolHome‘s Alain Tolhurst. Chancellor Rishi Sunak is in Washington to fulfill with counterparts and can talk about the provision chains disaster.

Talking of truck drivers: Labour chief Keir Starmer crashing an HGV (after being informed to steer additional to his left) is a must-watch. The weirdest half is Starmer saying “very good,” after being informed he would fail his truck driving check. Labour officers had been suggesting this tweet was him making gentle of it … whereas making a severe level, after all.

**French Secretary of State for Transport Jean-Baptiste Djebbari will communicate in particular person at POLITICO Live’s occasion “Driving fossil-free transport by 2050: from words to action” on November 16. Register now!**

GAS AND AIR

SUNBURN FOR JOHNSON: Shadow Business Secretary Ed Miliband will take goal at Johnson this afternoon for an obvious lack of seriousness in regards to the upcoming COP26 summit. “Get off the sun lounger and start being a statesman,” he’ll say in an tackle to the Green Alliance in central London, as Labour seeks to grab the local weather agenda forward of the worldwide occasion. “The government have been at best bystanders and at worst, contributors to global inaction,” he’ll add. He’s up at 2 p.m. and can participate in a panel dialogue and Q&A. Miliband is on the printed spherical for Labour proper now to tee up the speech.

It comes as: The Environment Agency warned that a whole bunch of individuals might die in floods within the U.Okay. except the nation turns into higher capable of deal with violent climate brought on by local weather change. “It is adapt or die,” stated EA Chair Emma Howard Boyd. The BBC has a write-up.

COP a load of this: For those that need extra local weather content material, the PM’s COP26 spokesperson Allegra Stratton will likely be chatting all issues clear air as a part of an Institute for Government panel at 1 p.m. right this moment. Playbook is heartened to see a authorities spokesperson occurring the document for dwell occasions and media interviews — which Stratton has carried out a good variety of too — which has been mainly unparalleled within the U.Okay. since Alastair Campbell stormed onto Channel 4 News to let off steam in regards to the BBC. Details of the IFG occasion right here.

GAS WOES CONTINUE: Up to 4 extra power suppliers might collapse beneath the stress of rising world costs, Mark Kleinman from Sky News is reporting. Government officers Playbook spoke to final evening didn’t steer away from the report, however the enterprise division insisted prospects could be protected and their energy not interrupted if their present suppliers fail.

And on struggling industries … Officials had been downbeat in regards to the prospect of a authorities plan to assist industries hit by rising gasoline costs being introduced right this moment. But Business Secretary Kwasi Kwarteng appears bemused about protection of his confrontation with Sunak, Playbook can report. “I think this is the first time in my life that I actually saw my name on the front page of about six different newspapers,” he informed a enterprise occasion earlier this week. He stated he might look again on the protection “if I ever forgot how to spell my name,” and quipped: “Of course I speak to the Treasury all the time. Do you know any guys there? We get on very, very well.”

TODAY IN WESTMINSTER

HOUSE OF COMMONS: In recess till subsequent week.

BOJO’S HOLIDAY DIARY: Where’s the PM whereas his Brexit continues to attend for the oven, his nation faces numerous crises and his authorities is admonished for its pandemic response? Painting photos at Zac Goldsmith’s plush vacation pad in Spain, based on the entrance pages of the Mirror and Star. At easel, PM! Here’s the net Mirror write-up, which incorporates some grim tales of households bereaved by COVID.

Speaking of huge homes: The PM has informed Liz Truss and Dominic Raab to share Chevening, the 115-room grade I listed nation home which often goes to the overseas secretary in non-coalition occasions. The Times‘ Henry Zeffman received the news.

JUST HAPPENED: The ONS simply dropped its August GDP estimates. Check out the numbers right here.

HOUSE OF LORDS: Sits from 3 p.m. with questions on the rising value of power costs, assist for the U.Okay. trend business and the transparency of property possession … Followed by the third studying of the Environment Bill and second readings of each the Social Security (Up-rating of Benefits) Bill and Critical Benchmarks (References and Administrators’ Liability) Bill.

COMMITTEE CORRIDOR: The Lords structure committee continues its inquiry into the governance of the U.Okay. with politics prof Iain McLean (10.30 a.m.) … The Commons environmental audit committee appears to be like at water high quality in rivers (2.25 p.m.) … and the Lords public providers committee will quiz Children’s Commissioner Rachel de Souza (3 p.m.).

COULDN’T MAKE IT UP: “Two drug dealers were nicked in parliament as scores of crimes were recorded at the home of democracy,” the Sun’s Jonathan Reilly stories on this prime scoop.

MORE WORKER WOES: The care sector is going through a staffing disaster, with the variety of carers in England falling for first time, based on a brand new report. ITV‘s Paul Brand has a write-up.

OOOPS: Parliamentary watchdogs suffered a knowledge mishap with an FOI redaction fail. BI’s Henry Dyer has the small print.

WHATSAPP GOVERNMENT: Ministers face a High Court authorized problem over Cabinet Office pointers suggesting ministers guarantee immediate messaging apps like WhatsApp robotically delete correspondence. The BBC’s Brian Wheeler has extra.

WHAT MINISTERS WANT TO TALK ABOUT: Sixty-five free coaching programs will likely be made out there at Institute of Technology universities from later this month throughout England, as a part of authorities efforts to assist retrain or upskill working adults. Conservative Chair Oliver Dowden is on broadcast and will likely be hoping to talk about it.

GET ACTIVE BY WATCHING … Dowden’s DCMS successor Nadine Dorries speak on the “ukactive Conference” right this moment from 1.15 p.m. Crossbench peer and Paralympian Tanni Grey-Thompson can also be talking at 10 a.m.

COVID CORNER: Social distancing will likely be scrapped in GP surgical procedures as a part of a bundle of measures to make it simpler for individuals to see their docs, the Mail’s Jason Groves stories. The paper splashes on the information as a “victory” after campaigning for extra in-person appointments.

Yesterday’s UK COVID stats: 38,520 new circumstances, ⬇️ 1,704 on Monday. In the final seven days there have been 270,585 constructive circumstances ⬆️ 32,120 on the earlier week … 181 reported deaths inside 28 days of a constructive check, ⬆️ 153 on Monday. In the final seven days 795 deaths have been reported, ⬆️ 18 on the earlier week. As of the newest information 7,003 COVID sufferers are in hospital.

Vax stats: A complete 49,216,092 individuals or 85.6 % of the inhabitants aged 12+ have acquired a primary dose, ⬆️ 29,172. A complete 45,212,813 individuals or 78.6 % of the inhabitants aged 12+ have acquired a second dose, ⬆️ 23,632.

**Thierry Breton, European commissioner for the inner market, will headline POLITICO Live’s occasion “Hydrogen: hype or hope?” happening on November 9 at 11:30 a.m CET. Register now!**

STATE OF THE UNION

TODAY IN SCOTLAND: Scottish MPs will likely be anxiously checking their inboxes as they await preliminary proposals to rejig the boundaries of their Westminster constituencies. Expect media stories to emerge round midnight. Scotland stands to lose two seats beneath the assessment.

Today in Scotland II: Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon will ship a TED Talk on the pre-COP 26 Countdown Summit, the place she is going to talk about the position smaller nations can play in combating local weather change. She’ll be talking between 11.15 a.m. and 1 p.m. alongside the Danish Climate Minister Dan Jørgensen, amongst others.

**A message from Sky: For the primary time within the UK, now you can get Sky TV over Wifi. No dish, no field, no fuss.  Sky Glass doesn’t value the Earth. It’s the world’s first TV to be licensed CarbonNeutral®. Sustainably designed, it has low energy options inbuilt resembling auto-switch-off and auto-adjusting display screen brightness, serving to it to be extra power environment friendly. It is the one TV to come back in recyclable packaging, free from single-use plastic, and through the use of a TV with every little thing inbuilt, it makes use of as much as 50 per cent much less power than a traditional TV arrange. Find out extra.**

MEDIA ROUND

Tory Party Chair Oliver Dowden broadcast spherical: Sky News (7.05 a.m.) … Times Radio (7.20 a.m.) … talkRADIO (7.35 a.m.) … LBC (7.50 a.m.) … Today program (8.30 a.m.).

Shadow Business Secretary Ed Miliband broadcast spherical: Times Radio (6.50 a.m.) … Today program (7.30 a.m.) … Sky News (8.05 a.m.) … LBC (8.50 a.m.).

Also on the Today program: Peter Wilson, group managing director of the Cory Brothers Shipping Agency (7.10 a.m.) … Claire Bassett, deputy director normal, operations on the Independent Office for Police Conduct (7.20 a.m.) … French MEP Nathalie Loiseau (7.50 a.m.) … NHS Wales Chief Executive Andrew Goodall (8.10 a.m.).

BBC Breakfast: National Care Forum chief exec Vic Rayner (7.10 a.m.).

Also on Sky News breakfast: Ulster Unionist Party Leader Doug Beattie (8.20 a.m.).

Also on Nick Ferrari at Breakfast (LBC): The Spectator’s Kate Andrews (7.10 a.m.) … Former Editor of the Daily Star Dawn Neesom (8.35 a.m.).

Also on Times Radio breakfast: Port of Dover CEO Doug Bannister (8 a.m.) … Edinburgh University professor of public well being Linda Bauld (8.20 a.m.) … Rivers campaigner Feargal Sharkey (8.45 a.m.).

Also on Julia Hartley-Brewer breakfast present (talkRADIO): The Economist’s John Peet (7.20 a.m.) … Former Work and Pensions Secretary Iain Duncan Smith (8.05 a.m.) … U.Okay. Chamber of Shipping Policy Director Gavin Simmonds (8.20 a.m.) … Labour MP Graham Stringer (9.06 a.m.).

Politics Live (BBC Two 12.15 p.m.): Shadow Brexit Minister Jenny Chapman … Tory MP Damian Collins … Broadcaster Timandra Harkness … Cambridge politics and historical past professor David Runciman.

Live with Littlewood (YouTube 6 p.m.): Former Northern Irish FM Arlene Foster … ConservativeResidence’s Henry Hill … The IEA’s Victoria Hewson and Jamie Whyte.

Cross Question with Iain Dale (LBC 8 p.m.): Tory MP Dean Russell … The IEA’s Annabel Denham … Journalist Oz Katerji.

Peston (Twitter 9 p.m. and ITV 10.45 p.m.): Labour MP Rebecca Long-Bailey … Former Northern Irish FM Arlene Foster … Democrat Congresswoman Ilhan Omar.

Reviewing the papers tonight: Sky News (10.30 p.m. and 11.30 p.m.): The Mirror’s Kevin Maguire and Mail’s Andrew Pierce … Times Radio (10.30 p.m.): Tory MP Caroline Johnson and Labour MP Siobhain McDonagh.

TODAY’S FRONT PAGES

(Click on the publication’s identify to see its entrance web page.)

Daily Express: EU informed — Your ‘poison’ is wrecking Brexit guidelines.

Daily Mail: Victory for Mail as GPs free of COVID guidelines.

Daily Mirror: Having enjoyable, Boris?

Daily Star: What a load of Pollocks — PM brushes off claims his dithering value lives.

Financial Times: U.Okay. restoration will lag behind different superior nations, IMF forecasts.

HuffPost UK: Brexit battles are again.

i: Ships unable to dock and unload items for Christmas.

Metro: Apologise? Fat probability.

POLITICO UK: Your transfer Brussels: EU to current Brexit answer for Northern Ireland.

The Daily Telegraph: Brussels to supply new Brexit deal for NI.

The Guardian: EU to supply olive department on Northern Irelands items.

The Independent: Frost calls for key Brexit commerce deal is ripped up.

The Times: Backlog at greatest port forces ships to show away.

LONDON CALLING

WESTMINSTER WEATHER: ☁️☁️☁️ Light cloud and winds — highs of 17C.

NOW HIRING: Civil Service World is trying for a reporter. More particulars right here.

SPOTTED … At the Spanish’ Embassy National Day of Spain reception: Treasury Minister John Glen … French Ambassador Catherine Colonna … Swedish Ambassador Mikaela Kumlin Granit … Crossbench friends Daniel Brennan and Hugh Dykes.

MEA CULPA: Playbook incorrectly tipped the British Kebab Awards for subsequent Tuesday — they’re really happening the next week on October 26.

BIRTHDAYS: Sports Minister Nigel Huddleston … Aberdeen South MP Stephen Flynn … Paymaster General Michael Ellis … Former Health Minister Edwina Currie.

PLAYBOOK COULDN’T HAPPEN WITHOUT: My editor Zoya Sheftalovich, reporter Andrew McDonald producer Grace Stranger.

primarily based on website supplies www.politico.eu

Related posts

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *